TheSource said:
Wii is in a drought in terms of recent software releases so it is selling based on its cataogue of big hits. New hits will kick demand back up. The scary thing is Wii was in a drought in early 2007, and briefly dropped to something like 55,000 per week in March 2007 in the Americas. Wii has sold over 100,000 per week in the Americas in every week since February 2008 - a period of 14 months, about 60 weeks.
With Golden Week coming, Wii will be at 40k/45k the next two weeks in Japan. Wii may dip a bit below 100k before Punch Out releases in Others and the Americas, but it should jump back up when it releases. Mothers Day, Fathers Day, and graduation weeks (June) all provide boosts for hardware.
The next ~6 weeks could easily be quiet though. After that WSR and M+ should provide longer lasting boosts
April 25 30k Japan 110k Americas 110k Others.....world: 250k
May 2 40k Japan 105k Americas 105k Others....world 250k GW
May 9 45k Japan 100k Americas 100k Others....world 245k GW
May 16 28k Japan 112k Americas 90k Others ...world 230k Mother's Day
May 23 25k Japan 140k Americas 120k Others....world 285k EA Active/Punch Out
May 30 22k Japan 130k Americas 113k Others...world 265k
I figure Wii Sports Resort can kick Wii up to 50k+ for a few weeks, and since June is always a good month compared to May in the Americas, Wii should be ~flattish in June worldwide despite being down in April/May
|