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Forums - Nintendo - High profile Wii game bombing. Speculation of a Nintendo crash in Japan.

TheSource on 18 April 2009

It is a fairly high profile game, although its not like the 2m were sold in Japan, only 250,000 units or so were, but I don't think it sold 30,000 on day one last year because people "wanted it" as a must have game, I just think it was picked up by a certain number of new owners purchasing a title. This year, Wii hardware sales are only about 2,000-3,000/day when the game released so 2.5k suggests that its at least theoretically possible that almost every new owner bought the game.

The real game to watch is Monster Hunter G. If that doesn't push Wii back into the 25k+ range followed by the usual Golden Week lifts than Wii is in real trouble in Japan until Wii Sports Resort/Tales of Grace/Monster Hunter 3.

Its important to remember the context here too.

Lowest registered weekly sales in Japan

PS3 ~4,100

Wii ~ 14,500

360 ~ 900

PS2 ~ 3,600 (Nov-Dec 2000)

DS ~ 10,200 (Feb 06)

PSP ~ 16,100 (Sep 07)

The PS2 and DS figures both roughly match what the Wii is experiencing now in Japan which is to say:

A) No price drop

B) A software drought

C) Massive sales in the west which the manufacturer wanted to top before worrying about Japan

D) A big lead



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JTurner82 on 18 April 2009
TheSource said:

It is a fairly high profile game, although its not like the 2m were sold in Japan, only 250,000 units or so were, but I don't think it sold 30,000 on day one last year because people "wanted it" as a must have game, I just think it was picked up by a certain number of new owners purchasing a title. This year, Wii hardware sales are only about 2,000-3,000/day when the game released so 2.5k suggests that its at least theoretically possible that almost every new owner bought the game.

The real game to watch is Monster Hunter G. If that doesn't push Wii back into the 25k+ range followed by the usual Golden Week lifts than Wii is in real trouble in Japan until Wii Sports Resort/Tales of Grace/Monster Hunter 3.

Well considering that preorders for MHG are up, I really don't see that game failing; I'm sure system sales SHOULD go up as a result of this game and the aforementioned Golden Week.



Bobbuffalo on 18 April 2009

.....deca sports?...... high profile?.... really?

*leaves*



Hawk on 18 April 2009

Whatever makes you feel better man. I mean really, whatever helps assuage your bitterness over the Wii selling faster than any console in history.



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outlawauron on 18 April 2009

It's not high profile but a good seller.

This article is pretty bogus though. They don't even mention that MH3 is also releasing after WSR.



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ClaudeLv250 on 18 April 2009

Thread made me say roffle! Deca Sports 2 high profile, and they're basing their entire argument around first day sales for the sequel to a game that sold entirely off of legs!



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SaviorX on 18 April 2009

Doesn't Monster Hunter G have 65,000+ preorders?



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JTurner82 on 18 April 2009
SaviorX said:
Doesn't Monster Hunter G have 65,000+ preorders?

 

 

If it has that many then I think it's safe to assume that it'll be a hit for the Wii.



Qumulox on 18 April 2009
SaviorX said:
Doesn't Monster Hunter G have 65,000+ preorders?

Where did you saw that?

 



One_touch_KO on 19 April 2009
TheSource said:

It is a fairly high profile game, although its not like the 2m were sold in Japan, only 250,000 units or so were, but I don't think it sold 30,000 on day one last year because people "wanted it" as a must have game, I just think it was picked up by a certain number of new owners purchasing a title. This year, Wii hardware sales are only about 2,000-3,000/day when the game released so 2.5k suggests that its at least theoretically possible that almost every new owner bought the game.

The real game to watch is Monster Hunter G. If that doesn't push Wii back into the 25k+ range followed by the usual Golden Week lifts than Wii is in real trouble in Japan until Wii Sports Resort/Tales of Grace/Monster Hunter 3.

Its important to remember the context here too.

Lowest registered weekly sales in Japan

PS3 ~4,100

Wii ~ 14,500

360 ~ 900

PS2 ~ 3,600 (Nov-Dec 2000)

DS ~ 10,200 (Feb 06)

PSP ~ 16,100 (Sep 07)

The PS2 and DS figures both roughly match what the Wii is experiencing now in Japan which is to say:

A) No price drop

B) A software drought

C) Massive sales in the west which the manufacturer wanted to top before worrying about Japan

D) A big lead

I always found you a better analyst than many of the "professional analysts" out there.

 

Good job, I didn't know about that PS2 low number.