Pikmin isn't *that* big a franchise. Nintendo would seriously need to casualise it for this to happen - its almost designed for Wiimote use.

But I say no - some of those games: sure - but Halo/Killzone... unlikely.

Heavy Rain, definitely, Uncharted 2 likely, perhaps even Killzone 2 (in light of recent sales). Halo Wars is highly likely as well. God of War 3? Mmm, I suppose it's possible.

I think it's possible, afterall anything can happen.

Yeah, I can see it outselling heavy rain, as much as I am excited for that game, It really is just for a niche market.

The other games you have listed though, I think would be a stretch. I think I would peg the next pikmin game somewhere in the 2-3 million ltd category. I don't think it could sell more than that. It is also pretty niche.

True, but across the board Wii games have been doing equal to or better than their Gamecube sequels, which is especially impressive in light of their shorter time at market...and the fact that they're still selling at $50, whereas Gamecube titles had the advantage of Player's Choice.

I'd be stunned if Pikmin 3 didn't at least match the original's lifetime sales in a short period of time. And if Nintendo ever does Player's Choice (unlikely) it should beat most, if not all, of those.

i reckon pikmin 3 could beat sonys new IPs, but not its established franchises

I always figured the series sold well because parents get the title confused with Pokemon when they buy it for their kids. With that said I assume it will sell 2 jillion copies!

Actually the second game in the series sold less than the original. The Wii re-releases of the Gamecube games didn't have outstanding numbers either. Why would people care about a new game in the series? For a Nintendo game its actually not very popular.

I don't think so, but I wouldn't be surprised if it happened either.

@Green Penguin
First i would love to commend you on promotion of Pikmin on VGChartz. For some reason, this franchise doesn't seem to get the attention it deserves on this site.
I also hope you are right in terms of sales, as Pikmin really does deserve it. I just don't know if Pikmin is popular enough. It will be very interesting to monitor the sales of the NPC Pikmin titles once Pikmin 3 is announced and p to its release date.

Pikmin is the best thing ever in gaming but is too hardcore to generate mad sales. Online would help but in addition they would have to find a way to make it much more casual/mainstream. Maybe replace Olimar with Mario.