saicho said:
Ail said:
saicho said:
Ail said:
Average worldwide weekly sales( keeping January out as wii had stock issues and it was still the follow off the holydays) .
February 2009 :
Wii : 422k
Xbox 360 :200k
PS3 : 144k
March 2009 :
Wii : 354k
Xbox360 : 190k
PS3 : 188k
April 2009 (only 1 week) :
Wii : 295k
Xbox360 : 149k
PS3 : 143k
March was down compared to February for the Wii but not for HD consoles ( 360 slightly down, PS3 up).
So far April is down for all 3.
For reference :
April 2008
Wii : 365k average
Xbox360 : 114k
PS3 : 150k
If things don't change I'm expecting Xbox360 to be up 20% compared to 2008, PS3 to be down 10% and Wii to be down 20%.
Generally speaking Wii will most likely be down 25-30% in Q2 2009 compared to Q2 2008.
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For the year or for Q2?
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Q2.
It's too early to tell how the year will do.
My expectation is that first 6 months of 2009 = first 6 months of 2008.
We need to wait what Nintendo announces for the rest of the year and see how well Wii Sport Resort does before we have an idea on how well the Wii will do for the holydays.
If I had to make a guess now I would say 2009 Wii sales will be down 5-10% compared to 2008....But it's really a wild guess...
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It's all relative.
Mario Kart Wii and Wii Fit were released in Q2 last year and SSBB in March. This year we have Excitebot, Punch Out! and DSi launch. Certainly the focus for Nintendo is a little different which might result in a "slow down" for Wii.
However, if we are calling Wii sales falling off based only on that, are we gonna call a Wii "come back" if it outsells 2008 in Q3 and/or Q4?
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I'm not expecting Wii sales to fall drastically.
But I think they will fall down to more reasonnable levels now that the production is able to match the demand.
280-300k/week looks to be the average for me in the next 3-4 months....
Even with a good title I am doubtfull about Holydays 2009 beating 2008.
But if the Wii can manage to sell roughly the same number of consoles in 2009 than in 2008 it will still be a very good year for Nintendo...
But when we look back at 2008-2009 in a few years I think we will find out that these were the years the Wii peaked, the jury is still out if the peak will be 2008 or 2009 though...
PS3-Xbox360 gap : 1.5 millions and going up in PS3 favor !
PS3-Wii gap : 20 millions and going down !
