Are Wii sales starting to fall off in Americas and Others as well as Japan?

[saicho]

Ail said:

saicho said:

Ail said:

Average worldwide weekly sales( keeping January out as wii had stock issues and it was still the follow off the holydays) .

 

February 2009 :

Wii : 422k

Xbox 360 :200k

PS3 : 144k

 

March 2009 : 

Wii : 354k

Xbox360 : 190k

PS3 : 188k

 

April 2009 (only 1 week) :

Wii : 295k

Xbox360 : 149k

PS3 : 143k

 

March was down compared to February for the Wii but not for HD consoles ( 360 slightly down, PS3 up).

So far April is down for all 3.

 

For reference :

April 2008 

Wii : 365k average

Xbox360 : 114k

PS3 : 150k

 

If things don't change I'm expecting Xbox360 to be up 20% compared to 2008, PS3 to be down 10% and Wii to be down 20%.

 

Generally speaking Wii will most likely be down 25-30% in Q2 2009 compared to Q2 2008.

For the year or for Q2?

 

Q2.

 

It's too early to tell how the year will do.

My expectation is that first 6 months of 2009 = first 6 months of 2008.

We need to wait what Nintendo announces for the rest of the year and see how well Wii Sport Resort does before we have an idea on how well the Wii will do for the holydays.

 

If I had to make a guess now I would say 2009 Wii sales will be down 5-10% compared to 2008....But it's really a wild guess...

 

It's all relative.

Mario Kart Wii and Wii Fit were released in Q2 last year and SSBB in March. This year we have Excitebot, Punch Out! and DSi launch. Certainly the focus for Nintendo is a little different which might result in a "slow down" for Wii.

However, if we are calling Wii sales falling off based only on that, are we gonna call a Wii "come back" if it outsells 2008 in Q3 and/or Q4?