The reason for the Metal Gear Solid rumors is quite simple. Konami is encouraging them. They have Kojima scream exclusive, and then a few other guys say it can be ported to another platform. Basically it is a aggressive business tactic. Designed to at the very least get Sony to buy exclusive rights, and to generate hype. They have certainly got the hype, and I wouldn't be surprised if the tactic got Sony to shell out for exclusive rights or at the very least timed rights. In that sense Microsofts pressure would have paid off. They forced Sony to spend more money.
The same hold true for Square. Microsoft keeps pushing to get these games on their console. Sony cannot afford to let that happen. Square has to know this. So once again I would be shocked if they have not come to Sony with a hand out looking for exclusive rights. I would also be shocked if Sony did not pay. This is the sheer genius behind Microsofts strategy.
All they have to do is talk about the titles, and make a token effort to get them on their platform. The developers then have leverage over Sony. Pay up or we walk and doom your console is pretty strong stuff. I am sure they have already done so and I am sure Sony folded like a house of cards. Not only can Konami and Square point towards Microsoft. They can also point towards Nintendo.
Will Microsoft get these games. Personally I doubt it for no other reason then these companies probably cornered Sony and basically mugged them at gunpoint. They have all the power to do so. Sony dominates no market, and is in fact losing ground in most markets. Nintendo owns Japan, and Microsoft is doing quite well in North America. Both Nintendo and Microsoft also have serious price advantages which will only increase over time. Sony would have no choice in the situation.
Right now the speculation probably just shores up hype, and might convince some people to buy a PS3. Since they have worked themselves into a frenzy for a game they were not going to get in the first place.











