Alan Wake will probably sell more when it comes out in 2012.

Remedy is a third the size of studios working on similar projects. What other developers do in 2 years could easily take 5 if their staff was as small as Remedy's. And no, Alan Wake has only been actively in development for 3 years.  The fact that a game in development this long looks this good is a testament to Remedy's competence. They designed the game with future graphics in mind, not current. But I do agree with you, Alan Wake will sell better but Heavy Rain will receive better reviews.

If you count PC sales too, Alan Wake no doubt. Actually even if you don't count PC sales Alan Wake will do better because of larger user base. Of course I am assuming that both of games will be good. If one or both of them will be crap, dunno really.

Alan Wake had a full-on CGI trailer at E3 2005 (nearly 4 years ago), and the design was pretty far along.  They showed gameplay in 2006 (3 years ago).  "In development" includes pre-production -- Alan Wake has been in the design and development phase for at least 4 years now, probably closer to 5 by the time the game is released, as I stated.  Games don't get CGI trailers at E3 until they are decently far along, to begin with.

Alan Wake is far overdue.  Also, Remedy is not so small, really -- their website claims they have 40 developers, and if they are all commited to AW, then their team is not much smaller than most large-scale devteams (50-60 is usually the biggest it gets, for one game -- larger studios have more than one game in progress, and if they have more than about 60 people on a single game, they are almost certainly overspending).

Don't get me wrong, Remedy is awesome in my book -- Max Payne and its sequel were great games.  However, AW is taking too long, and is looking mighty suspect now, as a quality contender.  People get tired of working on the same game for too long, which is really the main issue with a project dragging on -- I sincerely hope that Remedy pulls through and brings us a hit.

Actually, there's a 24 minute gameplay video of heavy rain at game trailers. com

http://www.gametrailers.com/player/usermovies/295470.html

I hope both do well because quality, adult oriented games with mature themes are few and far between. By that I mean actually mature games, not just games that get an M rating because they feature lots of killing.

I know I will purchase Alan Wake, probably week 1, but Heavy Rain has me interested as well. My roommate received a PS3 from his grandmother for Christmas, so I can even play it now if I want to. Fingers crossed for both of them to be good.

I like her digging through the trash in that video. Too bad hte first 3 minutes are of her eyes, and I don't speak French =/.

I'm still doing to have to say Alan Wake will sell more on both counts though.  Its more of an established genre, while HR has got sort of a Myst thing going on.  HR could turn out to be mind-blowingly good though, I just don't know enough about either game to make a guess based on the game's merits, so my guess is based on other factors. 

Besides, PS3 owners don't really seem to be supporting quality games the way they should

alan wake will sell more

Heavy Rain 1.2 million lifetime.

Alan Wake over 3 million.

Alan Wake by a mile. Heavy Rain will bomb.