By using this site, you agree to our Privacy Policy and our Terms of Use. Close

Forums - Sales - Crazy John predicts again: SSBBrawl 1st week sales

Eh. I'm skipping on Metroid for now. I still have yet to play any of the Prime games and I don't feel like starting at 3 even though I'm sure storyline wise, it wouldn't matter that much.



To cash in my CC rewards points for $300 in Circuit City gift cards to purchase a 360 or not: That is the question.

Around the Network
Lingyis said:
1.1m for ssbb
700k for metroid
1m for galaxy

fixed



WiiFit will be 2008 #1 selling game in NORTH AMERICA!  
End of '08 Predictions: Wii - 48m X360 - 25m  PS3 - 19m
Wii monthly NA sales will top 400k every month in '08. *Jan sales ruined it. Grrrr!*
WiiFit will top 1m in sales in its first month of release in North America.
MGS4 will NOT be released in '08. *Darn it!* FF13 will NOT be released in '08.
Rockband Wii will top 600k in first month sales in North America.
WiiFit will pass the PS3 WW sales by Xmas '09.

I'm also curious where this faith in MP3 comes from.

MP1 sold something like 2 million WW, and then considerably less for MP2. It's not that big of a franchise on the Nintendo scale. I'm not surprised Mario Party 8 is doing well, the series is popular even if it's not among gamers, so I don't see the logic of "Mario Party 8 is selling well, so Metroid Prime 3 must do better".



I would be willing to jump in and say that Brawl will sell over 1 million units in its first week.



PS3: 5.51m/51w, avg 108,039/w (up 239)
360: 12.93m/102w, avg 126,764/w (up 625), leads PS3 by 7.42m (up 70k), avg lead 18,725/w (up 386)
Wii: 13.52m/51w, avg 265,098/w (dn 1,102), leads PS3 by 8.01m (up 90k), avg lead 157,059/w (dn 1,341)

If 360 sales stabilize, PS3 sales increases needed to pass 360 by...
01/08: (008w) +875.8%, 04/08: (021w) +344.4%, 07/08: (034w) +219.3%, 10/08: (047w) +163.5%
01/09: (060w) +131.8%, 04/09: (073w) +111.4%, 07/09: (085w) +098.1%, 10/09: (099w) +086.7%
If Wii sales stabilize, PS3 sales increases needed to pass Wii by...
01/08: (008w) +1072.%, 04/08: (021w) +498.4%, 07/08: (034w) +363.4%, 10/08: (047w) +303.1%
01/09: (060w) +269.0%, 04/09: (073w) +246.9%, 07/09: (085w) +232.6%, 10/09: (099w) +220.3%
If PS2 sales freeze, Wii sales increases needed to pass PS2 (as of Mar07, 108.4m) by...
2008: (008w) +4373.8%, 2009: (060w) +0496.5%, 2010: (112w) +0219.6%, 2011: (165w) +0116.9%
2012: (217w) +0064.9%, 2013: (269w) +0033.1%, 2014: (321w) +0011.5%, 2015: (376w) -0004.8%
At +0% it will pass it in 358w, the week ending September 19th, 2014, at an age of 409w (7y44w).
Current age of PS2: 7y37w.

Last update: Week ending November 3, 2007

white devil said:
I'm also curious where this faith in MP3 comes from.

MP1 sold something like 2 million WW, and then considerably less for MP2. It's not that big of a franchise on the Nintendo scale. I'm not surprised Mario Party 8 is doing well, the series is popular even if it's not among gamers, so I don't see the logic of "Mario Party 8 is selling well, so Metroid Prime 3 must do better".

Well, Wii sales are already about half of what GC were lifetime. Logically, a sequel of a game that sold well on an "unpopular" console should be able to push better numbers when it's the "popular" console. Of course, it still has to be a good game in its own right but better hardware #s should mean better software #s.
I personally don't think MP3 is anywhere near the category of Galaxy & Brawl in potential sales. It's one major advantage is being the first "real" game on the Wii (that is not a GC port) for hardcore gamers.



To cash in my CC rewards points for $300 in Circuit City gift cards to purchase a 360 or not: That is the question.

Around the Network

Don't forget that Metroid is the first game to be promoted directly on your Wii.
Any Wii owners connected on NintendoWC has received a message about videos.

It's the kind of promo that Prime 1 and 2 doesn't have. So yes Metroid has the potential to seller better than the previous games.



Gamertag : Dark Red Icarus  

Gamerscore : 29000!!!! still growing

PSN ID : Gamer9851

Now Playing : Soul Calibur 4 and World of Warcraft

eab said:
Funny how almost everyone agrees that Brawl will surpass Galaxy's first week sales, even though people seem to agree that Galaxy will sell more in it's lifetime. Sorta weird if you think about it, a game said to be "better" (Galaxy) has little hope of beating Brawls sheer diehard fan base.

I also like to ponder just how many sales Brawl could get in one week if Sonic, Cloud, playable Miis, and Online play are all announced one week beforehand xD


I know!

X-1 where X = number of Wiis sold (I'm lowballing it just to be safe)



Tag (courtesy of fkusumot): "Please feel free -- nay, I encourage you -- to offer rebuttal."
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
My advice to fanboys: Brag about stuff that's true, not about stuff that's false. Predict stuff that's likely, not stuff that's unlikely. You will be happier, and we will be happier.

"Everyone is entitled to his own opinion, but not his own facts." - Sen. Pat Moynihan
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
The old smileys: ; - ) : - ) : - ( : - P : - D : - # ( c ) ( k ) ( y ) If anyone knows the shortcut for , let me know!
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
I have the most epic death scene ever in VGChartz Mafia.  Thanks WordsofWisdom! 

ceres said:
white devil said:
I'm also curious where this faith in MP3 comes from.

MP1 sold something like 2 million WW, and then considerably less for MP2. It's not that big of a franchise on the Nintendo scale. I'm not surprised Mario Party 8 is doing well, the series is popular even if it's not among gamers, so I don't see the logic of "Mario Party 8 is selling well, so Metroid Prime 3 must do better".

Well, Wii sales are already about half of what GC were lifetime. Logically, a sequel of a game that sold well on an "unpopular" console should be able to push better numbers when it's the "popular" console. Of course, it still has to be a good game in its own right but better hardware #s should mean better software #s.
I personally don't think MP3 is anywhere near the category of Galaxy & Brawl in potential sales. It's one major advantage is being the first "real" game on the Wii (that is not a GC port) for hardcore gamers.


 I understand those points. The issue I have trouble with is the fact that there was a significant drop off in popularity between 1 and 2, and it's hard to recover from something like that.



white devil said:
ceres said:
white devil said:
I'm also curious where this faith in MP3 comes from.

MP1 sold something like 2 million WW, and then considerably less for MP2. It's not that big of a franchise on the Nintendo scale. I'm not surprised Mario Party 8 is doing well, the series is popular even if it's not among gamers, so I don't see the logic of "Mario Party 8 is selling well, so Metroid Prime 3 must do better".

Well, Wii sales are already about half of what GC were lifetime. Logically, a sequel of a game that sold well on an "unpopular" console should be able to push better numbers when it's the "popular" console. Of course, it still has to be a good game in its own right but better hardware #s should mean better software #s.
I personally don't think MP3 is anywhere near the category of Galaxy & Brawl in potential sales. It's one major advantage is being the first "real" game on the Wii (that is not a GC port) for hardcore gamers.


I understand those points. The issue I have trouble with is the fact that there was a significant drop off in popularity between 1 and 2, and it's hard to recover from something like that.


Yeah, you'd have to radically redesign the game to recover from something like that. New control scheme, or something, I don't know.



Where did my post go =P? I posted on this thread and now its mysteriously gone =P A mod didn't send me a PM or anything either....what gives?



To Each Man, Responsibility