Crazy John predicts again: SSBBrawl 1st week sales

[Desroko]

white devil said:

ceres said:

white devil said:
I'm also curious where this faith in MP3 comes from.

MP1 sold something like 2 million WW, and then considerably less for MP2. It's not that big of a franchise on the Nintendo scale. I'm not surprised Mario Party 8 is doing well, the series is popular even if it's not among gamers, so I don't see the logic of "Mario Party 8 is selling well, so Metroid Prime 3 must do better".

Well, Wii sales are already about half of what GC were lifetime. Logically, a sequel of a game that sold well on an "unpopular" console should be able to push better numbers when it's the "popular" console. Of course, it still has to be a good game in its own right but better hardware #s should mean better software #s.
I personally don't think MP3 is anywhere near the category of Galaxy & Brawl in potential sales. It's one major advantage is being the first "real" game on the Wii (that is not a GC port) for hardcore gamers.

I understand those points. The issue I have trouble with is the fact that there was a significant drop off in popularity between 1 and 2, and it's hard to recover from something like that.

Yeah, you'd have to radically redesign the game to recover from something like that. New control scheme, or something, I don't know.