It would be amazing indeed, but I think it has a very decent shot at it.

I see it at 14M ETY 08

Then 150K/week for the first 6 months = 4M

Next 4 months = 120K/week = 2M

November + December = 3M (4.5M in 08)

= 9M in 2009

= 23M end of 09.

Then it would probably make a ~ 32M I guess. So it has a more than decent chance. I'd put LT sales in the 28-35M range

MKwii doesn't count!! it comes bundled with the steeringwheel!! everybody buys it for the steeringwheel!! So it shouldn't count! ;)

Mario Kart Wii sales depends on Wii sales

it will have an attach rate of 25-30% atleast during Wii's lifetime so MK Wii could easily hit 25-30 million.

attach rate just now is 30% and I don't think it will just drop down too 10%

Maybe you didn't see his list of only Nintendo games in his profile and his Kirby-themed avatar, then, eh?

...

It pisses me off when people assume that someone's biased, then hate on them, solely because they don't like what that person has to say. Pay attention, eh?

Attach rate right now is 30% yeah, but look at sales for last quarter.

MKWii: 5.2M

Wii: 11.7M

That's 45% (no calculator, but I think that's it)

So it is actually selling far above 30% on a regular basis (I do expect it to drop after christmas though)

Yeah, I'm actually a 95% Nintendo owner, I've never owned any other console, and only 5 PC games (but they total in a lot of time though)

I agree that people way too often call others biased. The last 2 weeks I've

Been called a Wii hater 5 times

Been called a Wii fanboy (pro Wii) 5 times or so

Called a Ps3 hater 7 times (I think)

Called a Ps3 lover 5 times (to my own big surprise)

Called a X360 hater twice

Called a X360 lover something around 7 times (normally by the same people who call be a Ps3 hater)

But that's actually kind of nice. I piss everyone off equally oftenly :D (which means I'm not really biased?)

It's scary how Mario Kart is bigger than Mario. A spinoff franchise is bigger than the lead hahaha.

Still, probably about 4 weeks. I figure wii sales will slow a little from the holidays but in the past week, it sold 750,000 copies

I side with Oyvoyvoyv, i mean 2 weeks is just crazy, we're out of the holiday season! And what he said is based on facts, already MK in others is at the 150 k range...

@SmokedHostage
What u said was way outa line

I agree Oyvoyvoyv is 4 you bully!!!

actually I was just defending the OP, I had not seen a thread about that lately, and it annoys me when someone makes a thread someone else tired of seeing, so they make it known or whatever.

Also I was just throwing the part out there about him not liking to here it. If I was a PS3 fanboy I be a bit touchy about the many PS3 is d00med threads...

And what you said basically assumes he doesn't like Wii or Nintendo, when as he just said, his library is 95% Nintendo games. Of all people here, he's one that one would expect most to like that fact.

But he's not going to make an absurd prediction that goes entirely against software sales trends and basic logic. Like the OP did. While the OP is pointing out an interesting fact, the fact is, it's impossible for the games to sell that much in so little time. That's what Oyvoyvoyv was saying, and he was the one attacked - not the OP, so frankly, it's ridiculous to defend the OP.

So, again, pay attention.