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Forums - Sales - Pachter Dec NPD Estimates

noname2200 on 05 January 2009
Khuutra said:
noname2200 said:
Khuutra said:
This is gonna be awesome.

True, but it could never possibly match April's performance, i.e. the stuff that legends are made of.

 

I wish I had the patience to find that thread. I can only imagine.

Got your back!

http://www.neogaf.com/forum/showthread.php?t=296026

Enjoy!

Edit: First few pages are the "awed" section. Fun begins after that.

Oh, you meant the VGChartz one. That wasn't as fun.

 



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TWRoO on 05 January 2009
Khuutra said:
noname2200 said:
Khuutra said:
This is gonna be awesome.

True, but it could never possibly match April's performance, i.e. the stuff that legends are made of.

 

I wish I had the patience to find that thread. I can only imagine.

Try using the search function.

http://www.vgchartz.com/forum/thread.php?id=26849

It was the Epic 700kWii versus PS3 and 360 both under 200k, even though GTAIV released one.

 



MANUELF on 05 January 2009
noname2200 said:
Khuutra said:
noname2200 said:
Khuutra said:
This is gonna be awesome.

True, but it could never possibly match April's performance, i.e. the stuff that legends are made of.

 

I wish I had the patience to find that thread. I can only imagine.

Got your back!

http://www.neogaf.com/forum/showthread.php?t=296026

Enjoy!

 

VGChartz Version!!!

http://www.vgchartz.com/forum/thread.php?id=26849

 



Khuutra on 05 January 2009
noname2200 said:
Khuutra said:
noname2200 said:
Khuutra said:
This is gonna be awesome.

True, but it could never possibly match April's performance, i.e. the stuff that legends are made of.

 

I wish I had the patience to find that thread. I can only imagine.

Got your back!

http://www.neogaf.com/forum/showthread.php?t=296026

Enjoy!

Edit: First few pages are the "awed" section. Fun begins after that.

Oh, you meant the VGChartz one. That wasn't as fun.

 

No I did not, and thank you very much.

I guess I'll be back in like five hours!



Oyvoyvoyv on 06 January 2009

:O I see what I did wrong.

I took sales from the week ending 30th November. It isn't part of December, so no clue why I did that.



http://www.vgchartz.com/games/userreviewdisp.php?id=261

That is VGChartz LONGEST review. And it's NOT Cute Kitten DS

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Infamy79 on 06 January 2009
famousringo said:
Oyvoyvoyv said:

I'm not sure what dates this December NPD is for, but it seems like he is pretty much equal to VGC on Ps3 and Wii, but he predicts far lower (over 20%) for X360.

 

VGC is often higher on 360 than NPD. It was quite some time ago, but I recall ioi explicitly stating that he feels NPD undertracks the platform.

 

 Given Microsoft's new shipment numbers, Brett/ioi appears to be pretty spot on



Never argue with idiots
They bring you down to their level and then beat you with experience

Hegarol2 on 06 January 2009
Khuutra said:
noname2200 said:
Khuutra said:
This is gonna be awesome.

True, but it could never possibly match April's performance, i.e. the stuff that legends are made of.

 

I wish I had the patience to find that thread. I can only imagine.

google "neogaf npd april 2008"

GET THIS:

http://www.neogaf.com/forum/showthread.php?s=fbda1558df57c9573c69b945146543b9&t=296026&page=21



Khuutra on 06 January 2009
Hegarol2 said:
Khuutra said:
noname2200 said:
Khuutra said:
This is gonna be awesome.

True, but it could never possibly match April's performance, i.e. the stuff that legends are made of.

 

I wish I had the patience to find that thread. I can only imagine.

google "neogaf npd april 2008"

GET THIS:

http://www.neogaf.com/forum/showthread.php?s=fbda1558df57c9573c69b945146543b9&t=296026&page=21

You're a bit late, muchacho, but thank you. Leave it to me to not think of the most obvious solution.



student on 06 January 2009

Pachter's pretty low I think, but it's understandable since it looks to be a blow out xmas



Killergran on 06 January 2009
bigjon said:
WiiStation360 said:
Oyvoyvoyv said:
WiiStation360 said:
December is a 5 week NPD month. (November 30 - January 3) Given that, all of his initial predictions seem way low when compared to VGC data.

 

 :O Okay

Well, VGC in that time-frame (missing 1 week)

Wii: 4M (so ~ 5M total? That would mean Pachter is 2M lower...)

X360: 2.1M (so 2.5M total? Would mean Pachter being 1.2M lower....)

Ps3: 0.9M (so 1.2M total? That would mean Pacher being 500K lower...)

 

I think you've got the wrong weeks.

 

It could coorespond to these4 weeks, plus next week.

VGChartz Hardware data for the period 06th Dec 2008 to 27th Dec 2008:

Console Wii PS3 X360
America
3,162,172
740,675
1,611,184

In any case, Pachter looks it be low for all 3, based on VGC data.

 

 erm, that is all of NA divide it by 1.1 for so to get US.

I think- (which is just as good as a patcher prediction..lol)

Wii- 3.5 in US alone

360- 1.8 mil in Us

PS3- 800k in US

Dividing by 1.1 is NOT the same as multiplying by 0.9

I repeat, it's NOT the same.

When you get so close to 1 it's kinda not a huge deal, I admit, but it still gives you faulty numbers.

Dividing by 1.1 is more the same as multiplying with 0.91

Multiplying by 0.9 is the same as dividing by 1.1111111.....

It's a common mistake that can really, really mess up your calculations.

 

For reference, try multiplying by 0.5 and dividing by 1.5. You do not get at all the same answers.

 



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