He is very right wing Nintendo, no hope for that one. PS3 will do fine in Japan overall, hell just this year RE5, SF4, Yakuza 3 and FFXIII will do more then nicely for the PS3.

The ps3 needs a price cut in japan, its very expensive in that territory, and blu-ray is a dominant force there, ps3 being one, and the price dropped would really increase sales.

Well, at least he didn't give a range of 14m, then stipulate "IF things stay the way they are".  So we should give him props for that.

Oh yes blu-ray, cant see that hurting the PS3 in the future especially with people embracing it much more now. PS3 price cut will most probably be the first one we get from all 3 territories, the games coming this year are huge.

This is a certainty.........price cut before FFXIII ;)

Do you really think calling the ps3 a lame duck in Japan is a bold statement?  Really?

I think his point is, there are lots of favorites coming out for the Wii, which will lessen the need for FF.

Sony should just cut price world wide by $50 for march, and come holiday season $50

a $349.99 ps3 wouldnt affect sales much imo.

My Prediction for when I believe the current consoles will be retired:

Wii 80,000,000 -100,000,000
PS3 50,000,000-102,000,000
360 37,500,000 - 50,000,000 (It will be replaced by the next one before Gears 3 comes out imho)

I predict around 50-55 million when the PS3 has stopped selling. Has a small chance at 60 million if things turn around, but higher than 60 is near impossible.

To put it in perspective:

360: 60-65 million
Wii: 140-160 million

 I'm being realistic, PS3 will never get close to Wii in Japan

 PS3 and 360 selling even close to 60 million will probably mean Wii has breached 200 million easy, that's the only way the market will be big enough