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Forums - Microsoft Discussion - Fall 2007 Game Lineup - What will be hot?

Desroko said:
Ishy said:
Btw juiced wil sell half a million in all 3 territories...

Not in Japan, it won't.


 on what you base that ???

is it on the quality of the game or the content... because on the content if you have a country where they like fast pimped cars it's japan.... not everybody but you have an entire japanese pimping style going on in the past decade... look at the skyline from nissan so powerful the new one you can buy it only in japan and UK 



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You forgot to include Call of Duty 4.
By those standards it's probably an AA game, although I think many of those AA games (including CoD4) will sell over a million, Mass Effect certainly will.



We don't provide the 'easy to program for' console that they [developers] want, because 'easy to program for' means that anybody will be able to take advantage of pretty much what the hardware can do, so the question is what do you do for the rest of the nine and half years? It's a learning process. - SCEI president Kaz Hirai

It's a virus where you buy it and you play it with your friends and they're like, "Oh my God that's so cool, I'm gonna go buy it." So you stop playing it after two months, but they buy it and they stop playing it after two months but they've showed it to someone else who then go out and buy it and so on. Everyone I know bought one and nobody turns it on. - Epic Games president Mike Capps

We have a real culture of thrift. The goal that I had in bringing a lot of the packaged goods folks into Activision about 10 years ago was to take all the fun out of making video games. - Activision CEO Bobby Kotick

 

endimion said:
Desroko said:
Ishy said:
Btw juiced wil sell half a million in all 3 territories...

Not in Japan, it won't.


on what you base that ???

is it on the quality of the game or the content... because on the content if you have a country where they like fast pimped cars it's japan.... not everybody but you have an entire japanese pimping style going on in the past decade... look at the skyline from nissan so powerful the new one you can buy it only in japan and UK


Neither Metroid nor FPSs sell especially well in Japan. Ergo, Metroid Prime 3 will not sell half a million in Japan. The first two combined didn't sell that much in Japan.



For the PS3 ,after the same criterium chosen by the thread creator

AAA

Singstar
Little Big Planet
Pro Evolution Soccer 08
Madden 08
Guitar Hero III
Stuntman: Ignition


AA

Gran Turismo 5 Prologue
Unreal 3
Haze
Ratchet and Clank
Lair
Call of Duty 4
Heavenly Sword
Hot Shots Golf (300K in Japan easily plus the PAL and NA sales )
Assasins Creed
Uncharted
Half Life 2 Orange Box
Rock Band

A

Medal of Honour Airborne
Warhawk
Stranglehold
Colin Mc Rae Dirt
Tiger Woods 08
Nba Live 08
Fifa 08
Sega Rally Revolution
Need for Speed Pro Street
Tony Hawk Proving Ground
Mercenaries 2

B

Oblivion Game of the Year
Eye of Judgement
NHL 08'
Skate
NHL 2K08
Time Shift
Turning Point Fall of Liberty
Socom Confrontation
Blazing Angels II: Secret Missions of WW II
NBA 2K08
Quake Wars
The Club
Dynasty Warriors 6 (probably A in Japan )


C

Fatal Inertia
Bladestorm
Juiced 2
The Simpsons Game
Clive Barker Jericho
Spiderman Friend or Foe
Dynasty Warriors Gundam
Frontlines Fuel of War
Folklore
Beowulf
Pain
Eco Chrome
Wipeout HD



Diomedes1976 said:
For the PS3 ,after the same criterium chosen by the thread creator

AAA

Singstar
Little Big Planet
Pro Evolution Soccer 08
Madden 08
Guitar Hero III
Stuntman: Ignition


AA

Gran Turismo 5 Prologue
Unreal 3
Haze
Ratchet and Clank
Lair
Call of Duty 4
Heavenly Sword
Hot Shots Golf (300K in Japan easily plus the PAL and NA sales )
Assasins Creed
Uncharted
Half Life 2 Orange Box
Rock Band

A

Medal of Honour Airborne
Warhawk
Stranglehold
Colin Mc Rae Dirt
Tiger Woods 08
Nba Live 08
Fifa 08
Sega Rally Revolution
Need for Speed Pro Street
Tony Hawk Proving Ground
Mercenaries 2

B

Oblivion Game of the Year
Eye of Judgement
NHL 08'
Skate
NHL 2K08
Time Shift
Turning Point Fall of Liberty
Socom Confrontation
Blazing Angels II: Secret Missions of WW II
NBA 2K08
Quake Wars
The Club
Dynasty Warriors 6 (probably A in Japan )


C

Fatal Inertia
Bladestorm
Juiced 2
The Simpsons Game
Clive Barker Jericho
Spiderman Friend or Foe
Dynasty Warriors Gundam
Frontlines Fuel of War
Folklore
Beowulf
Pain
Eco Chrome
Wipeout HD

 

 

Diomedes,

 To focus on your AAA titles only: singstar, little big planet, and stuntman. I highly doubt will move nearly as many units as most of your "AA" titles. Bad list. =P

 



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Diomedes1976 said:
For the PS3 ,after the same criterium chosen by the thread creator

AAA

Singstar
Little Big Planet
Pro Evolution Soccer 08
Madden 08
Guitar Hero III
Stuntman: Ignition


AA

Gran Turismo 5 Prologue
Unreal 3
Haze
Ratchet and Clank
Lair
Call of Duty 4
Heavenly Sword

Hot Shots Golf (300K in Japan easily plus the PAL and NA sales )
Assasins Creed
Uncharted
Half Life 2 Orange Box
Rock Band

A

Medal of Honour Airborne
Warhawk
Stranglehold
Colin Mc Rae Dirt
Tiger Woods 08
Nba Live 08
Fifa 08
Sega Rally Revolution
Need for Speed Pro Street
Tony Hawk Proving Ground
Mercenaries 2

B

Oblivion Game of the Year
Eye of Judgement
NHL 08'
Skate
NHL 2K08
Time Shift
Turning Point Fall of Liberty
Socom Confrontation
Blazing Angels II: Secret Missions of WW II
NBA 2K08
Quake Wars
The Club
Dynasty Warriors 6 (probably A in Japan )


C

Fatal Inertia
Bladestorm
Juiced 2
The Simpsons Game
Clive Barker Jericho
Spiderman Friend or Foe
Dynasty Warriors Gundam
Frontlines Fuel of War
Folklore
Beowulf
Pain
Eco Chrome
Wipeout HD

Those I have shaded in red, to me right at this point look like AAA titles.



 

mM

Leo-j what are you doing on MS forum again, you are lost ??? :D just kidding

I agree except maybe for socom and time shift



darkfire001 said:

There are a huge amount of games coming out this fall, and looking to get some insight on what you guys think will be hot, or at least what you plan on buying? (NOTE: I went up until October, then Holiday Peak Buying Season springs into effect!)

 AAA Releases ( Guaranteed Million Sellers+)

Madden 2008

Halo 3

Guitar Hero III: Legends of Rock

AA Releases

Bioshock

Project Gotham Racing 4

Half Life 2: The Orange Box

Ace Combat 6: Fires of Liberation

Mass Effect

A Releases

Two Worlds

Tiger Woods PGA Golf 08

Medal of Honor: Airborne

Eternal Sonata

NBA Live 08'

Tony Hawks: Proving Ground

Sega Rally Revo

Naruto: Rise of a Ninja

Need for Speed: Pro Street

Virtua Fighter 5

NCAA March Madness 08'

B Releases

Strangehold

Blue Dragon

Stuntman: Ignition

MotoGP 07'

NHL 08'

Skate

The Elder Scrolls IV: Oblivion Game of the Year Edition

NHL 2K8

Blazing Angels II: Secret Missions of WW II

America's Army: True Soldiers

NBA 2K8

Lost Odyssey

Fifa Soccer 08'

Beautiful Katamari

Warhammer: Mark of Chaos

Timeshift

Turning Point: Fall of Liberty

C Releases (100+K)

Dynasty Warriors Gundam

Fatal Inertia

Warriors Orochi

Juiced 2: Hot Import Nights

Looney Tunes: Acme Arsenal

Spiderman: Friend or Foe

Crash of the Titans

Flat Out: Ultimate Carnage

Kingdom Under Fire: Circle of Doom

Clive Barkers: Jericho

The Simpsons Game

Low End

Kengo: Legend of the 9

CSI: Hard Evidence

Age of Pirates: Captains Blood

Avatar: The Last Airbender

Thrillville: Off the Rails

 

 

Man of my classifications are off, let me know if there are any glaring errors of games that should be moved up or down. Basically I tried to weight games based on 1/3 how well they should sell, 1/3 based on how "big budget" they are, and 1/3 based on quality.


good list. although i'm pretty sure blue dragon is at least an A list. over a million people preordered that game. Other than that, it's a really good list! I can't wait for Halo 3!!!



 

I don't disagree with any of the lists, I am a horrible software predictor...

I think I could safely add any of these games to any of those A+ lists:

I think Guitar Hero III is going to do really well on Wii, along with MySims. BioShock will break a million. And the Simpson's game will do over 500k easy.

Your lists are way better than I could do though.



I would cite regulation, but I know you will simply ignore it.

I disagree with Singstar. That is almost 100% casual, and how many casuals pick a $500-600 system?