First was wait for X game to come out for the PS3 and the Wii will stop selling, now is wait for the price cut lol what's next?
In this pace it will storm passed 100 million within 2 years.
Predictions for 2009:
360: 39-42 PS3: 31-34 Wii: 67-70
Future projection
Wii will hit 100 million before christmas 2010 (made december 2008)
NDS Family will have sold and shipped more then PS2 at the end of 2009 (made january 2009)
No, what the point?
PS2 is going to reach atleast 150 mln. LTD and Wii to get to that number.. by the end of 2012 has a little chance, and by that time, new consoles will be available on the market. =)
Every 5 seconds on earth one child dies from hunger...
2009.04.30 - PS3 will OUTSELL x360 atleast by the middle of 2010. Japan+Europe > NA.
Gran Turismo 3 - 1,06 mln. in 3 weeks with around 4 mln. PS2 on the launch.
Gran Turismo 4 - 1,16 mln. with 18 mln. PS2 on the launch.
Final Fantasy X - around 2 mln. with 5 mln. PS2 on the launch.
Final Fantasy X-2 - 2.4 mln. with 12 mln. PS2 on the launch.
1.8 mln. PS3 today(2008.01.17) in Japan. Now(2009.04.30) 3.16 mln. PS3 were sold in Japan.
PS3 will reach 4 mln. in Japan by the end of 2009 with average weekly sales 25k.
PS3 may reach 5 mln. in Japan by the end of 2009 with average weekly sales 50k.
PS2 2001 vs PS3 2008 sales numbers =) + New games released in Japan by 2009 that passed 100k so far
| CrazzyMan said: No, what the point? PS2 is going to reach atleast 150 mln. LTD and Wii to get to that number.. by the end of 2012 has a little chance, and by that time, new consoles will be available on the market. =) |
PS2 won't reach 150 million, it'll be lucky to reach 135 million
Wii will easily break 135 million before 2012, heck it'll probably break it sometime in 2010-2011
Predictions:Sales of Wii Fit will surpass the combined sales of the Grand Theft Auto franchiseLifetime sales of Wii will surpass the combined sales of the entire Playstation family of consoles by 12/31/2015 Wii hardware sales will surpass the total hardware sales of the PS2 by 12/31/2010 Wii will have 50% marketshare or more by the end of 2008 (I was wrong!! It was a little over 48% only)Wii will surpass 45 Million in lifetime sales by the end of 2008 (I was wrong!! Nintendo Financials showed it fell slightly short of 45 million shipped by end of 2008)Wii will surpass 80 Million in lifetime sales by the end of 2009 (I was wrong!! Wii didn't even get to 70 Million)
If you mean "WORLD WIDE" then ... uhm ... Oh hell no!
If you mean "In certain parts of the world?" Yes.
| Seraphic_Sixaxis said: If you mean "WORLD WIDE" then ... uhm ... Oh hell no! If you mean "In certain parts of the world?" Yes. |
no, it'll beat it both WW and in the various world regions
Predictions:Sales of Wii Fit will surpass the combined sales of the Grand Theft Auto franchiseLifetime sales of Wii will surpass the combined sales of the entire Playstation family of consoles by 12/31/2015 Wii hardware sales will surpass the total hardware sales of the PS2 by 12/31/2010 Wii will have 50% marketshare or more by the end of 2008 (I was wrong!! It was a little over 48% only)Wii will surpass 45 Million in lifetime sales by the end of 2008 (I was wrong!! Nintendo Financials showed it fell slightly short of 45 million shipped by end of 2008)Wii will surpass 80 Million in lifetime sales by the end of 2009 (I was wrong!! Wii didn't even get to 70 Million)
Probably worldwide. Doesn't look likely in Japan, and some of the developing markets will never be focused on by Nintendo in the same way Sony focuses on small areas. There was the article the other day that Sony sold 20,000 PS3s in India. Seems too small to focus on now for Nintendo. Those little markets add up, but it probably won't matter.
PS2 shipments are 133.8m through September 2008. Should be ~139m by March 2009. Probably ~145m or so by March 2010. Then maybe ~148m by March 2011. So Sony will likely end up shipping ~150m or so by March 2010 before PS2 completely stops selling.
Wii has already had a taller peak. Sony shipped about 23m PS2s in its best year...2002 when a price cut helped elevate demand. Nintendo has managed to build demand through marketing and game diversification. When that begins to falter a bit, as it probably will in 2010, there will likely be a sharp decline which can be offset by price cuts.
I'm expecting the Wii peak to be about 35m in 2009, pushing the worldwide total 80m at the end of 2009. A 15% drop off in 2010 would push Wii to 110m in two years. A 20% drop off in 2011 would push Wii to 134m in three years. A 30% drop off in 2012 would push Wii to 151m in four years. A 40% drop in 2013 would push Wii to 161m in five years. A 50% drop in 2014 would push Wii to 166m in six years.
I figure by March 2012 Wii shipments and sellthrough could both be around 170m if the peak year is 35 million, because even increasingly sharp declines won't get you from 35m to 0m in a short blip of time.
People are difficult to govern because they have too much knowledge.
When there are more laws, there are more criminals.
- Lao Tzu
Soriku said:
Oh hell yes. The Wii is tracking higher than the PS2 WW and that's without any big third party releases. |
All a matter of opinion. :D
Also thats what i dont understand though... how is the Wii selling so much when it doesnt have NEARLY as much 3rd party support as the PS2 did?
I'd uniquely like to know the answer to this question because wtf? In the long run PSP and DS are getting all the good 3rd party support so far Wii... even though it has some big hits, it still doesnt have many... im Con-fizzled.
| TheSource said: Probably worldwide. Doesn't look likely in Japan, and some of the developing markets will never be focused on by Nintendo in the same way Sony focuses on small areas. There was the article the other day that Sony sold 20,000 PS3s in India. Seems too small to focus on now for Nintendo. Those little markets add up, but it probably won't matter. PS2 shipments are 133.8m through September 2008. Should be ~139m by March 2009. Probably ~145m or so by March 2010. Then maybe ~148m by March 2011. So Sony will likely end up shipping ~150m or so by March 2010 before PS2 completely stops selling. Wii has already had a wider peak. Sony shipped about 23m PS2s in its best year...2002 when a price cut helped elevate demand. Nintendo has managed to build demand through marketing and game diversification. When that begins to falter a bit, as it probably will in 2010, there will likely be a sharp decline which can be offset by price cuts. I'm expecting the Wii peak to be about 35m in 2009, pushing the worldwide total 80m at the end of 2009. A 15% drop off in 2010 would push Wii to 110m in two years. A 20% drop off in 2011 would push Wii to 134m in three years. A 30% drop off in 2012 would push Wii to 151m in four years. A 40% drop in 2013 would push Wii to 161m in five years. A 50% drop in 2014 would push Wii to 166m in six years. I figure by March 2012 Wii shipments and sellthrough could both be around 170m if the peak year is 35 million, because even increasingly sharp declines won't get you from 35m to 0m in a short blip of time. |
Considering Wii still bumps against supply issues, will it really suffer a sharp decline? I don't believe so, first lets see supply consistently meet demand before we start talking sharp declines
Predictions:Sales of Wii Fit will surpass the combined sales of the Grand Theft Auto franchiseLifetime sales of Wii will surpass the combined sales of the entire Playstation family of consoles by 12/31/2015 Wii hardware sales will surpass the total hardware sales of the PS2 by 12/31/2010 Wii will have 50% marketshare or more by the end of 2008 (I was wrong!! It was a little over 48% only)Wii will surpass 45 Million in lifetime sales by the end of 2008 (I was wrong!! Nintendo Financials showed it fell slightly short of 45 million shipped by end of 2008)Wii will surpass 80 Million in lifetime sales by the end of 2009 (I was wrong!! Wii didn't even get to 70 Million)
Seraphic_Sixaxis said:
All a matter of opinion. :D Also thats what i dont understand though... how is the Wii selling so much when it doesnt have NEARLY as much 3rd party support as the PS2 did? |
Blame Wii fit
Predictions:Sales of Wii Fit will surpass the combined sales of the Grand Theft Auto franchiseLifetime sales of Wii will surpass the combined sales of the entire Playstation family of consoles by 12/31/2015 Wii hardware sales will surpass the total hardware sales of the PS2 by 12/31/2010 Wii will have 50% marketshare or more by the end of 2008 (I was wrong!! It was a little over 48% only)Wii will surpass 45 Million in lifetime sales by the end of 2008 (I was wrong!! Nintendo Financials showed it fell slightly short of 45 million shipped by end of 2008)Wii will surpass 80 Million in lifetime sales by the end of 2009 (I was wrong!! Wii didn't even get to 70 Million)
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