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Kantor on 19 April 2009
Slimebeast said:
1. PS3 will be dropped to $299 before 2009 is over. Probably

2. PS3 will outsell the X360 by 0-1000,000 units, but no more, in 2009. Probably

3. PS3 - 32 million Probably

4. X360 - 39 million Probably

5. Wii - 70 million Probably

6. Metal Gear Solid 5 will be announced or at least hinted as multiplatform I hope not, I say it's 50:50 right now.

7. Neither of God of War III, GT5 or Trico will release in 2009. GT5 might

8. Halo 3: ODST will sell 1.8 mill first week and over 3 million by end of year (but no more than 3.5 mill). I think more.

9. Alan Wake gets 94% on Gamerankings, sells 650,000 copies 1st week and over 1.5 mill by end of year. So if it gets 93 on gamerankings, you lose? . Too high on reviews and sales, I think.

10. Heavy Rain gets 83% on Gamerankings and sells 210,000 copies 1st week worldwide and barely reaches ½ mill before end of year. Too low on reviews, spot on on first week, a little low on end of year

11. Infamous gets 82% on Gamerankings, sells 240,000 copies 1st week and 700,000 by end of year. Too low on reviews, too low on first week, too low for end of year

12. MS will drop a bomb and win E3 again. Nah. Nothing is left of that caliber, barring MGS going multiplat. And that wouldn't be as huge as FF, becase everyone saw it coming.

There's my analysis



(Former) Lead Moderator and (Eternal) VGC Detective

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Kantor on 19 April 2009
RPG said:
1. PS3 will outsell 360 during the GT5 release week Definitely

2. Versus and MG4: Subheading will be multi-plat Unlikely.

3. Next Kojima project will be multi-plat, announced at E3 50:50

4. PSP will release a million seller this year :O Extremely likely

5. PS3 will get a $100 price cut in November Probably, maybe earlier.

6. GT5 will do 2 million first week I think more

7. Uncharted 2 will not make it to 1 million by the end of 09 I say it will

8. Halo ODST will do 3 million first week Too much, I think around 2 million.

9. Wii Fit will outsell the PS3 install base by years end Lol. No.

10. Heavy Rain will do a belly flop and sell 500k lifetime That's hardly a belly flop. I would say a little more, maybe 750k.

11. People will bitch and moan after E3 announcements are made Don't they always do that?

There's my VG$0.02.



(Former) Lead Moderator and (Eternal) VGC Detective

Slimebeast on 19 April 2009
Kantor said:
Slimebeast said:

9. Alan Wake gets 94% on Gamerankings, sells 650,000 copies 1st week and over 1.5 mill by end of year. So if it gets 93 on gamerankings, you lose? . Too high on reviews and sales, I think.

There's my analysis


Thanks for your analysis.

In that case (red) technically I'd "lose" but I'd claim it was a pretty accurate prediction and I'd be proud.

 



RPG on 19 April 2009

Anyone can say what they want but GT5 + PS3 price cut in EU will bump PS3 sales ahead of 360 in that area for good.

Overall for the year the 360 will outsell PS3 with absolute ease, even with a PS3 price cut I expect a 1 million lead for the 360 this year.



 

Slimebeast on 19 April 2009
RPG said:
Anyone can say what they want but GT5 + PS3 price cut in EU will bump PS3 sales ahead of 360 in that area for good.

Overall for the year the 360 will outsell PS3 with absolute ease, even with a PS3 price cut I expect a 1 million lead for the 360 this year.

 

 Hows that possible (since u like me predict a PS3 $300 this year)? Because the X360 will heavily counter price cut? Or Ur just a X360 fanboy perhaps lol.



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puffy on 19 April 2009

Hardware Sales

Wii - 70 Million

XBOX 360 - 39 Million

PS3 - 31 Million


1. Wii Sports Resort will sell 10 Million copies worldwide by year end

2. Wii Fit will hit 26 Million copies sold by year end

3. Mario Kart Wii will hit 17 Million copies sold by year end

4. Punch-Out!! will sell 2.5 Million copies by year end

5. Wii Fit Plus will sell 2.5 Million copies by year end (if released)

6. Super Mario Galaxy and Super Smash Brothers Brawl will hit 9 Million copies sold by year end

7. Red Steel 2 and Rabbids Go Home will both get high review scores 88 - 93 aggregate

8. EA Sports ACTIVE will sell 4 Million copies by years end

9. Grand Slam Tennis and Tiger Woods PGA Tour 10 will have total sales of over 4 Million by years end

10. Ghostbusters will sell better on Wii than either the PS3 or 360

11. Halo 3: ODST will sell 4 Million by years end

12. Modern Warfare 2 will sell 15 Million LTD across PS3, 360, Wii, DS, PSP if released on all platforms

13. Heavy Rain will break 1 Million LTD being a success but many will label it as a flop

14. Uncharted 2 will launch with sales of 650,000 first week and go on to sell 3 Million LTD

15. De Blob 2 will be announced alongside an announcement of 900,000 copies sold of the original

16. GTA: Chinatown Wars will hit 2.5 Million sold by year end

17. The Conduit will sell 100,000 at its opening and be called a flop early however it will go on to sell 1.5 Million by years end

18. Sin & Punishment 2 will sell 500k LTD

19. Sony announce the PSP2 at E3 alongside GT5 Mobile and a GT5 launch date



 

Khuutra on 19 April 2009

I remember last year - I think in October - I predicted

Wii - 72 million
360 - 35 million
PS3 - 32 million

I still expect that I lowballed each of these.



Kantor on 20 April 2009
puffy said:

Hardware Sales

Wii - 70 Million

XBOX 360 - 39 Million

PS3 - 31 Million


1. Wii Sports Resort will sell 10 Million copies worldwide by year end I don't think so.

2. Wii Fit will hit 26 Million copies sold by year end Could do

3. Mario Kart Wii will hit 17 Million copies sold by year end Should do

4. Punch-Out!! will sell 2.5 Million copies by year end Might

5. Wii Fit Plus will sell 2.5 Million copies by year end (if released) Probably doesn't exist.

6. Super Mario Galaxy and Super Smash Brothers Brawl will hit 9 Million copies sold by year end Probably.

7. Red Steel 2 and Rabbids Go Home will both get high review scores 88 - 93 aggregate Not that high, I don't think.

8. EA Sports ACTIVE will sell 4 Million copies by years end Hell no, it'll be lucky to get 2 million.

9. Grand Slam Tennis and Tiger Woods PGA Tour 10 will have total sales of over 4 Million by years end Combined? I still think not.

10. Ghostbusters will sell better on Wii than either the PS3 or 360 No way. Third party, hardcore, new IP without a Nintendo mascot

11. Halo 3: ODST will sell 4 Million by years end I think so too

12. Modern Warfare 2 will sell 15 Million LTD across PS3, 360, Wii, DS, PSP if released on all platforms It'll sell that on PS3, 360 and Wii alone. If it releases on Wii. I predict 8.5 million for 360, 5.5 million for PS3, and 1.5 million for Wii.

13. Heavy Rain will break 1 Million LTD being a success but many will label it as a flop I certainly hope so.

14. Uncharted 2 will launch with sales of 650,000 first week and go on to sell 3 Million LTD Agreed.

15. De Blob 2 will be announced alongside an announcement of 900,000 copies sold of the original Well, No More Heroes sold well enough to warrant a sequel, I don't see why not.

16. GTA: Chinatown Wars will hit 2.5 Million sold by year end No way in hell. With a 150k first week?

17. The Conduit will sell 100,000 at its opening and be called a flop early however it will go on to sell 1.5 Million by years end I say it'll do more than that first week, maybe 300k, but 1.5 million by year's end sounds right.

18. Sin & Punishment 2 will sell 500k LTD Never heard of that game, but sure.

19. Sony announce the PSP2 at E3 alongside GT5 Mobile and a GT5 launch date Last two are probable, I don't think they'd announce a PSP2 just yet. Maybe a PSP-4000.

That's what I think.



(Former) Lead Moderator and (Eternal) VGC Detective

Kantor on 08 May 2009
Kantor said:

This is different from the stickied thread in that these are not just console numbers (although feel free to include those) but any sales/gaming related predictions at all, similar to this thread from last year.

EDIT: My hardware numbers after I've done a little analysis.

EDIT 19/4/09: MOAR PREDICTIONS!

1) PS3- 34 million Seems a little high, now...

3) Wii- 77 million Seems a little high, now...

5) God of War III will make it out in 2009 We'll know in less than a month!

6) PS3 will get a price cut in Q1 or Q2 Not happening...

9) Killzone 2 will have sold well over 3 million units by the end of the year On track.

11) MGS4 will not come to the Xbox 360, and will not be announced for the Xbox 360 Still winning! Even amidst rumours...

14) An MGS4 "Substance" game will be released, exclusively for the PS3 Not announced, yet.

16) PS3 will beat 360 WW in sales for 2009. Looking very unlikely, now.

17) PS3 will re-overtake the 360 in Europe. Could still happen...maybe.

18) PS3 will be $300 by the end of the year Denied, again and again...we'll see.

19) Little Big Planet will be released on PSP SUCCESS! Well, not out yet, but...

21) PS3 sales in Japan will be well over 100k in FFXIII's release week, above the Wii. I think it could be over 200k, judging by what the DEMO did...58k...wow.


29) Uncharted 2: Among Thieves will sell around 800k opening week WW. This seems a little high, in retrospect.

30) Heavy Rain, Killzone 2 Yup, inFamous YES!, God of War III, Gran Turismo 5, Uncharted 2, Ratchet and Clank Future 2 and Trico will all score 9+ from IGN.

31) Ratchet and Clank Future 2 will make it out in 2009... SUCCESS!

32) IGN will give more 9+ games to the PS3 than the X360 or Wii. So far, yes. +1 to PS3 with inFamous

33) Gran Turismo 5 will be the best selling HD game of 2009. Single SKU, I should have mentioned. Could be ODST.

34) inFamous will sell around 500,000 first week. LOL I really predicted that? I think 300k is optimistic.

35) inFamous will be above 90 on Metacritic. Should be. 89.333333 so far, but it needs 4 reviews. Good chance of happening

37) The Wii will be the best selling home console for 2009 (I need a correct one ) Hmmm...not sure

38) God of War III will not make 2009 Wait a minute, didn't I just predict the exact opposite?

39) Uncharted 2 will be released in December 2009 Looking to be earlier.

40) Uncharted 2 will be a million seller by the end of 2009. I hope so.

42) Without a PS3 price cut, the 360 will beat the PS3 in holiday sales for 2009. Yeppers.

43) CrazzyMan will be permabanned by the end of the year Not yet. I want to be wrong here, actually Still not.

44) I will be a VGC obsessive (5001 posts) by the end of July. Lol, in mid-May! SUCCESS!
 
45) VGC 2.0 will be launched in June or July (I wish lol) of 2010... Someone said just before E3, so I could be right!

46) We will get at least one new moderator by the end of this year Not between 26/4 and now...but I know somebody who will probably be a mod soon. Not saying who. Not yet.

47) Supermario128 will be a VGC god by the end of May. Still on track...maybe.

48) This thread will reach five pages by the end of 2009. If I keep bumping it like this, definitely

49) The PSP will receive more 90+ (metacritic) titles this year than last year (lol, it needs 2 or more!) 0 so far. Still 0
 
50) Versus XIII will not be announced for 360 before 1st January 2010. It's still not! Still no.

I'll keep adding to this. What are your predictions? We can look at this thread at the end of 2009 and see how ridiculously wrong we all were!

I'll link this in my sig. All of you should link yours as well.

A few updates.

EDIT 13/5/09: A couple more updates.



(Former) Lead Moderator and (Eternal) VGC Detective

Kantor on 13 May 2009

Yay, inFamous got 9+!

And VGC 2.0 is set to launch "just before E3", so June/July 09 is correct! Woot!



(Former) Lead Moderator and (Eternal) VGC Detective