makes sense.

Well, Kotaku is wrong (and not for the first time).

2.4 production started April 1st, the start of the new Financial Year. They could have done it earlier I suppose, but they already surpassed their targets. So that makes (calender year 2008):

3 months x 1.8 million = 5.4 million
9 months x 2.4 million = 21.6 million
= 27 million Wii's available

On November 29th (VGC) there were 20 million Wii's sold YTD, which leaves 7 million for December (and Nintendo announced that they were supplying more than 2.4 million Wii's per month for November and December, so could even be 8 million)

Mabey, i would say soo,

Nintendo can't adjust production very quickly.   They have to set up contracts, etc.  If they are making 2.4 million per month, expect that contract to last at least 6 months, probably longer.  But chances are their next production change will be another increase.

Expect significantly more than 4 million units sold for December.  What was the PS2's record for a single month?  Expect it shattered.

Even the sales data confirms that they were stockpiling all year long:

Jan: ~1.57mil
Feb: ~1.28mil
March: ~1.33mil
April: ~1.52mil
May: ~2.49mil
June: ~1.60mil
July: ~1.86mil
August: ~1.30mil
September: ~1.26mil
October: ~2.02mil
November: ~3.28mil

Were they shipping out exactly what they made each month, given the way that demand has been, each month would be close to 2mil or 2.4mil (depending on which half of the year you look at). And November's sales would have been completely impossible without stockpiling.

Dec will be 6.5m or so four weeks.

3.25m Americas

2.9m Others

350k Japan

If they screw Europe over, they could sell 4m just in the USA.

Something like that. Should be a massive drop off in Japan though as I think they're going to run out again, which is why they aren't releasing any top software in January to March for Wii in the USA.

your table is out of date. America has been updated, so now November shows a total of ~3.64m units

And  yes, I think they can do a 4m unit month. They already did ~2.7m in December, and they have 2 more weeks within the calendar month. So if they manage 1.5m again (which is highly likely) they will break 4m units. In fact, I can see them easily doing 6.3m units within December alone.

However, I believe that NDP will count the week ending Jan 3 as a December week. so we could see up to 7m units in NPD December.

Its very possible. However, if there are no good releases of Wii games, then that could affect it from sellling 4 million in a month. So far that hasn't happen. So I guess it probably will selling 4 million in a month.

I doubt. There is demand for it. But no suply.

The Wii just sold 4m in the last 3 weeks.