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Forums - Nintendo - Metroid:Corruption - NA sales prediction thread...

400k launch
800k end of Sept.



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420 k at launch
950 k end of september
1.6 Million end of Year



First of all lumping Metroid with Mario, Smash Bros., Halo or any other huge seller is ridiculous. This is a good seller but not even close to any of those at all anywhere.

1st week- 135,000
End of September- 350,000

This game has a shot at 1 million by year's end but not too much more.

Edit: Also enough with the BS about game sites being biased against the Wii.... Metroid Prime is gonna insanely high reviews just as Zelda did.



Thanks to Blacksaber for the sig!

Maverick Hunter Z said:
MontanaHatchet said:
Some of you are a little optimistic. Metroid is a big game, sure, but it has a LOT of competition in August, as shown in this beautiful thread...

http://www.vgchartz.com/forum/thread.php?id=4583

This will likely get me slaughtered, but August will be a 360 month. Everyone will buy Madden and Bioshock, no one will have money left for Corruption. I'd put it at...

110-120k first week...

550k by end of September...

Million seller by 08!

Can I get a side of Contempt with that Vindictive Jealousy?


Can I get your 360 gamertag by any chance?



Thanks to Blacksaber for the sig!

ckmlb said:
Maverick Hunter Z said:
MontanaHatchet said:
Some of you are a little optimistic. Metroid is a big game, sure, but it has a LOT of competition in August, as shown in this beautiful thread...

http://www.vgchartz.com/forum/thread.php?id=4583

This will likely get me slaughtered, but August will be a 360 month. Everyone will buy Madden and Bioshock, no one will have money left for Corruption. I'd put it at...

110-120k first week...

550k by end of September...

Million seller by 08!

Can I get a side of Contempt with that Vindictive Jealousy?


Can I get your 360 gamertag by any chance?


Why? Need a friend or want to take some frustration out on me in some online play?



Proud Owner Of: Wii, DS, PSP, Xbox 360 (Brother owns PS3 & PS2)

Things that have changed since the last Generation of Gaming:

- Nintendo has shown us you can have the best selling console of all time with virtually no games for it.

- Graphics suddenly matter to Sony fans but Reverse Compatibility and Dual shock oddly enough don’t.

- Kiddy Crap is trendy with Hardcore gamers now that it’s no longer Nintendo’s “thing” (Viva Piñata, Little Big Planet, Banjo Kazooie 3, LBP)

- Third Party Developers are now essentially the equivalent of Video Game street pimps.

- Gimmicks are no longer fads (Wii-mote)... Well, not all Gimmicks (PS-Eye)

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ckmlb said:

First of all lumping Metroid with Mario, Smash Bros., Halo or any other huge seller is ridiculous. This is a good seller but not even close to any of those at all anywhere.

1st week- 135,000
End of September- 350,000

This game has a shot at 1 million by year's end but not too much more.

Edit: Also enough with the BS about game sites being biased against the Wii.... Metroid Prime is gonna insanely high reviews just as Zelda did.


Metroid Prime sold nearly 3 Million copies on the remarkably unpopular Gamecube and (as I said before) Metroid Prime 2 was released directly against the toughest competition I have seen any game face; How many games could compete against Half Life 2, Grand Theft Auto: San Andreas, Metal Gear Solid 3, World of Warcraft and Halo 2 and still break 1 Million copies sold?

Name Console Publisher Japan America Others Total
Metroid Prime Nintendo 0.12 1.92 0.73 2.77
Metroid Prime 2: Echoes Nintendo 0.07 0.82 0.37 1.26
Totals (2 matches)

A couple of months before the release of Metroid Prim (September 2002) the Gamecube only shipped 6.69 Million consoles worldwide and 3.22 Million consoles in North America; this means that the Wii will have sold more hardware by the time Metroid Prime 3 is released than they had sold of Gamecube hardware when Metroid Prime was released.

On top of that the Metroid Prime games have a history of high quality and it is likely that Metroid Prime 3 will retain that quality.

Title
Plat
Company
Reviews
Avg.
Vote
Avg
Score
1. Metroid Prime GC Nintendo 93 8.896.3%
2. Metroid Prime 2: Echoes GC Nintendo 75 8.792.2%
 

(With the exception of Madden) It will be the top selling game in North America in August and Will have sold 1 Million copies by the time Black Friday comes along; it will also sell a lot of copies at christmas when Nintendo fans pick it (and Zelda) up along side Mario Galaxy and Super Smash Bros.



This is definitely a million seller before the end of the year.

1st week- 185k
End of September- 500k



Consoles I Own: NES, SNES, N64, GC, GBA, DS, X360, Wii

250 k Launch

650 k end of month

2 million end of year

Hey there's potential there for those kind of sales.



Boycotting the following:

1. Yoshi: He ate my car and spit out a toaster.

2. Igglybuff: Totally false advertisement. You can have as many as you like they don't buff nothing.

3. the Terms Hardcore/Softcore... We're talking Video Games. Not Porn.

4. The term Casual as relates to Gamers: We make them sound like outsider's that happen to play games.  If that were the case they'd own a PS3.

5. Donuts.... Beacause I drink Beer...... and the biggest fan of Donuts hates Beer.

6. Boycotts: Their so lame.

 

 

I don't think MP2's sales are a good comparison to MP3. As squirrel has noted it was released near the back of one of the biggest holiday lineups ever. It also lacked the revolutionary feel and hype of Metroid Prime while suffering from severe sequelitis. Not to mention the Gamecube was still a contender in 2002 but by 2004 all but the most ardent Nintendo fanboys were gaming elsewhere (I was moving to PC gaming at the time and generally played my Xbox if I played a console).

MP3 could be said to be in a better spot than both MP1&2. It stacks up more closely with Metroid Prime on revolutionary feel, hype, and general vitality of its console while having an install base more similar to the size of MP2 (at the end of the year at least). The only negative is it's being released in another mega holiday season but this time it's releasing first. Unlike MP2 where everyone, including me, was too busy playing Halo 2 when MP2 came out, now gamers waiting to get their Halo on will have a month they could be playing MP3 beforehand.

Anyhow, my guestimates are
1st week- 300-350k
year end- 1,000-1,200k (at least 2,500k lifetime)



Maverick Hunter Z said:
ckmlb said:
Maverick Hunter Z said:
MontanaHatchet said:

Can I get a side of Contempt with that Vindictive Jealousy?


Can I get your 360 gamertag by any chance?


Why? Need a friend or want to take some frustration out on me in some online play?

Want to figure out if you're not Gballzack.

 



Thanks to Blacksaber for the sig!