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Forums - Sony Discussion - I don't think the PS3 can hit middle-high 5 mil consoles by the end of the year....

mitsuhide on 23 July 2007

Thank god Nintendo and Sega revived it.



End of 2014 Hardware Predictions (03/03/14)

PlayStation 4: 12-15million

Xbox One: 7-10 million

Wii U: 8-9 million (Changed 01/04/2014 from 7-9 --> 8-9 million)

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WiteoutKing on 23 July 2007
mitsuhide said:
Thank god Nintendo and Sega revived it.

 Amen to that.



PS3: 5.51m/51w, avg 108,039/w (up 239)
360: 12.93m/102w, avg 126,764/w (up 625), leads PS3 by 7.42m (up 70k), avg lead 18,725/w (up 386)
Wii: 13.52m/51w, avg 265,098/w (dn 1,102), leads PS3 by 8.01m (up 90k), avg lead 157,059/w (dn 1,341)

If 360 sales stabilize, PS3 sales increases needed to pass 360 by...
01/08: (008w) +875.8%, 04/08: (021w) +344.4%, 07/08: (034w) +219.3%, 10/08: (047w) +163.5%
01/09: (060w) +131.8%, 04/09: (073w) +111.4%, 07/09: (085w) +098.1%, 10/09: (099w) +086.7%
If Wii sales stabilize, PS3 sales increases needed to pass Wii by...
01/08: (008w) +1072.%, 04/08: (021w) +498.4%, 07/08: (034w) +363.4%, 10/08: (047w) +303.1%
01/09: (060w) +269.0%, 04/09: (073w) +246.9%, 07/09: (085w) +232.6%, 10/09: (099w) +220.3%
If PS2 sales freeze, Wii sales increases needed to pass PS2 (as of Mar07, 108.4m) by...
2008: (008w) +4373.8%, 2009: (060w) +0496.5%, 2010: (112w) +0219.6%, 2011: (165w) +0116.9%
2012: (217w) +0064.9%, 2013: (269w) +0033.1%, 2014: (321w) +0011.5%, 2015: (376w) -0004.8%
At +0% it will pass it in 358w, the week ending September 19th, 2014, at an age of 409w (7y44w).
Current age of PS2: 7y37w.

Last update: Week ending November 3, 2007

Rath on 23 July 2007
ckmlb said:
Rath said:

That can be applied to the industry, Sony has been killing Nintendo for over a decade theres no way the under dog nintedo will win. Wii is like a flash-in-the-pan athlete that has one or two unbelievable seasons then totally dissepears into nothing.

Wait, what? Nintendo dominated ENTIRELY during the NES-SNES era, moreso than PS ever did. There is no way a company that has been around for as long as Nintendo, they've been around since the second generation - Sony didnt get in on the act till the fifth, can be considered flash in the pan.


Maybe there is an argument for the NES era, but definitely not the SNES era.

SNES= 49 million versus Genesis=30.75 million.

On the other hand,

PS=102 million versus N64 and Saturn combined= 42 million

PS2=118 million so far versus GC and Xbox combined= 46 million

On a sidenote: I wonder why there aren't any Sega Master System numbers on this site since there are NES numbers.

 


 Fair cop, I should think before I post. But still, Nintendo is most certainly not a 'flash in the pan'.



LeroyBrown on 23 July 2007

Atari 2600 and Atari 5200 were both second generation.

Atari Pong was first generation and Atari 7800 was third generation.

Atari 2600 was a runnaway hit with a big library. Atari 5200 was a forgotten successor.

I know it sounds odd to have two consoles in the same generation, but a generation is determined by the generational trend, not anyone specific company's decision to release a new console when and where. Many consider the Atari 5200 Generation 2.5 but in fact it can more be likened to the end of the Generation 2.

Generation 1 - Pong Era

Generation 2 - "Early" 8-Bit Era

Generation 3 - "High-Def" 8-Bit Era

Generation 4 - 16-Bit Era

Generation 5 - 32/64-Bit Era

Generation 6 - Cinematic Era

Generation 7 - Disruption Era



MontanaHatchet on 15 November 2007

I like these predictions!



 

 

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llewdebkram on 15 November 2007

well I suppose if you drop the price low enough any old crap can sell.

0:)



grandmaster192 on 15 November 2007
llewdebkram said:
well I suppose if you drop the price low enough any old crap can sell.

0:)

Yeah, just look at the Wii.

ssj12 on 15 November 2007

hey Soriku, I think your prediction was a bit off. Its 5.75m and mid-November. Id say 7m end of the year seems plausible.



PC gaming is better than console gaming. Always.     We are Anonymous, We are Legion    Kick-ass interview   Great Flash Series Here    Anime Ratings     Make and Play Please
Amazing discussion about being wrong
Official VGChartz Folding@Home Team #109453
 
sieanr on 15 November 2007
ssj12 said:
hey Soriku, I think your prediction was a bit off. Its 5.75m and mid-November. Id say 7m end of the year seems plausible.

Hey, why not revive stupid things everyones said while your at it. I'll start us off.

ssj12 said: Lair will be a huge hit in Japan.. the Japanese love dragons.. Lair is about dragons... dragons + japan = huge underminded market.

http://vgchartz.com/forum/thread.php?start=50&id=1912



Leo-j said: If a dvd for a pc game holds what? Crysis at 3000p or something, why in the world cant a blu-ray disc do the same?

ssj12 said: Player specific decoders are nothing more than specialized GPUs. Gran Turismo is the trust driving simulator of them all. 

"Why do they call it the xbox 360? Because when you see it, you'll turn 360 degrees and walk away" 

makingmusic476 on 15 November 2007
sieanr said:
ssj12 said:
hey Soriku, I think your prediction was a bit off. Its 5.75m and mid-November. Id say 7m end of the year seems plausible.

Hey, why not revive stupid things everyones said while your at it. I'll start us off.

ssj12 said: Lair will be a huge hit in Japan.. the Japanese love dragons.. Lair is about dragons... dragons + japan = huge underminded market.

http://vgchartz.com/forum/thread.php?start=50&id=1912


 How about you don't jump to conclusions and be an ass to other VG'ers?  He didn't even resurrect the thread.