I have no doubt they would make the list as it is now, but will they be able to make it when they are released and this list has grown.

Personally I think GT5 should handily make the list of exclusives perhaps 8th or 9th by the time everything stops selling, FFXIII might have made that list if it was exclusive, and still only 11th or 12t.  But it won't make the 2nd list, after all it dosn't release in Japan for a good few months yet (is it slated for Q1 or Q2 of 2009?) and it will be even longer till it releases in the West.

Thanks for the catch on Mario Kart Wii, I edited it into the original post.

ZenfoldorVGI, perhaps we'll see PS3 games appearing here with more frequency as time goes on. All I can do is report the current numbers. I don't think any PS3 exclusive other than Gran Turismo has a realistic shot of making the top ten list though.

AC did do very well being a new IP

Some people think LBP will take the market by storm. You don't think it'll earn a spot on that list? The front page predicts that LBP will sell more than Gears 2. Gears 2 will certainly sell more than Gears 1, and Gears 1 is on that list. Therefore by reference, a vast number of people voting think LBP will sell more than Gears 1 or 2.

Given this information, do you think that LBP will make the list, or do you think that fandom and hope might have mislead a lot of peoples votes?

My personal opinion is that LBP will open to above average sales, and have above average legs for a HD game, but I don't think it'll have the legs of a Nintendo game. Japan will be key, if the game takes off over there, it'll have a chance, but  I wouldn't bet any money on that happening. Userbase plays a key role in sales, and you need a significant userbase and strong legs or a vast lump sum at the start to make the top 10 exclusives list. It could skirt 9 or 10 though, who knows.

 I don't think people realize that they're asking LBP to quickly blow by MGS4 when they say that it will outsell Gears 2.

Why do you say top ten and then list 13 games in each section? I don't get it.

For those who want to discount Wii Sports/Play.

I agree....if you look at the list really Gran Turismo & Final Fantasy are the only BIG franchises that haven't been released this gen that have a chance of making the top bracket.....obviously with FF13 being multiplat loads of PS3 sales go

so GT5 will definetely be on there.....

While I can see with your last 2 paragraphs you don't think LBP has a chance.... I shall respond to the first 2 paragraphs.

Do you remember the semi-famous, 12,000+ votes long running poll about best selling game in 2008? (the one that resulted in the position of poll administrator being made because it wasn't updated in months)
Yeah the eventual game with the most votes was Metal Gear Solid 4.... the only one of the list that didn't have a chance in hell. Mario Kart was stone dead last, and yet looks like it might become the best seller (if Wii Fit doesn't have the supply)

So yes fandom and hope is certainly misleading a lot of people votes here too... the most sensible voters will be voting for Wii Music, Animal Crossing and Gears 2.... all of which should at the minimum pass 6 million. Fable 2 won't get near 6 million, Resistance 2 might get near it, but I doubt it will pass it. LBP is an unknown, I'd give a minimum of 2 million, but it could pass 6 million handily too.

Than each section should of had 12, not 13 games...

One has 12 (ps3 is just for honorable mention, it isn't #13.

The other originally had 13 but the OP realized he missed Mario Kart so he just added it in and left the remaining. Now, there's 13.