I was looking at the aligned launches wii vs ps2, and wondering what the best possible situation would be for Nintendo a year from now.

Just eyeballing the chart, the wii appears to be about 10 million units ahead of the PS2 after the same number of weeks.  As the PS2 is just finishing its holiday rush its easy to eyeball the end of the next rush and see about 20 million units were sold during that year. Right now Nintendo is manufacturing 2.4 million units a month, which equals 28.8 million unit a year. So assuming that production is not increased again, the wii has the potential to be about 19 million units ahead of the curve of PS2 by next September.

(note: I don't think there's any relevence in try to guess how many units Nintendo might be stock piling right now, as they will unlikely use that same strategy next summer too)

Well if the wii wjhere to be sold out all year next year as well, then you have a point.

the thing is the wii isnt even close to the ps2 when it comes to a games libray, its terribly far off from the ps3 and 360.

Yet it sells, doesnt cease to amaze me.

^ i dont know about the ps3 library....i mean, besides GTA4 (this one is not even exclusive for the ps3) and MGS4, that came out not a long ago, i dont see the ps3 having a WOW library.

it will selll as long nintendo supports it, and "blue ocean" but wii fit sports music games.

but it will never get the support the DS and HD consoles are getting from third party.

but also ps2 hw manufactured was hold, and was released in different times.

the had a year where it have sold more than 20 million on a year, the wii took abit more than that to sell that amount first year.
that will pass it depends on how nintendo play it cards to stay afloat, i want a HD Zelda game sooner than later.

Good god the Wii's just doing disgusting.

Also, I'm surprised that until recently the PS3's been tracking right around the PS2. Hopefully holidays would put the PS3 back around the PS2 curve, seeing as the sharp spike the PS2 had that separated it from the PS3 seems to be a holiday season.

 Look at my sig and say that again..

there is a reason i put that there

ya teh wii is a peice of shti i get so agnyr wen i see it outslel evrytng it bring my blods 2 a boil n i suqashs kittysens n stuff lololol *dies*

well we can just take the ones that exlusive +90% and we'll see what happens then

From that data unless VGC is missing some numbers the PS3 is doing very well incomparison to PS2. The only differance right now is that the Ps2 just finished the christmas spike and the PS3 is starting it. As far as the main topic I am not even going to guess on the Wii. I see it just stoping anytime, but yet it keeps on going and going. If sales stay the same it will continue to cruse like it is, if for some reason it was to stop selling so well it may end up falling behind the graph the PS2 has set. Personally I am just glad to see so much growth in the indusrty, and hope that it continues. I would love to see a lot of the games that are coming out on Wii, PS2, and 360 come to PSN. but that is a little off topic.

 We are talking about a game library, what games the console offer.

Not whether its exclusive or not.