I'd like to keep an eye on marketshare in here as well. Starting with January and working backwards (for Americas - next gen consoles only) Next gen total = 8,199,000 360 - 66.29% Wii - 21.01% PS3 - 12.70% Through December 31: (7,106,250 total) 360 - 71.81% Wii - 17.49% PS3 - 10.70% Through Nov 30: (4,543,500 total) 360 - 83.25% Wii - 11.85% PS3 - 4.9% At January rates 360 would be down to a plurality by the end of June. Unless 360 can outsell PS3 & Wii combined in that time period for at least one month, I suspect no console will have the 'majority' the rest of this generation in North America. Prediction: End Feb: 360 - 61%, Wii 25%, PS3 14% End March: 360 - 57%, Wii 27%, PS3 16% End April: 360 - 53%, Wii 31%, PS3 16% End May: 360 - 51%, Wii 32%, PS3 - 17% End June: 360 48%, Wii 33.5%, 18.5% End July: 360 - 47%, Wii 34%, PS3 19% End Aug: 360 - 46%, Wii 34%, PS3 20% End Sept: 360 - 46%, Wii 35%, PS3 19% End October: 360 - 43%, Wii 37%, PS3 20% End November: 360 - 45%, Wii 36%, PS3 19% End December: 360 46%, Wii 36%, PS3 18% Net 2007 Gains/Losses 360 -20% Wii +15% PS3 +5%
People are difficult to govern because they have too much knowledge.
When there are more laws, there are more criminals.
- Lao Tzu
The MIGHTY ONE, Patcher, says that he expects the following sales data for February NPD (Feb 4- March 3) Wii - 350,000* (assumes sales of 87,500/week..same as January..when 435,000 sold) PS3 - 200,000 *(assumes sales of 50,000/week..roughly like January...when 244,000 sold) XBOX 360 - didn't say..but I would guess in the high 200,000's...280,000..70,000/week Christopher G_2...are you Patcher?? Software: The MIGHTY ONE says, 7 title sold over 100,000. Crackdown is mentioned. My hunch is Wii Play and Crackdown are are the highest titles..with Zelda, Gears, Guitar Hero 2, VF5, Resistance are the other titles...unless Diddy Kong Racing or Nintendogs or something snuck in there. I think its also possible Wii Play bombed, because the market the game is aimed at, doesn't do much research on video games..At the same time..its basically a free controller + $10... which is I think it is more like it is number one or number two game of Feb.
People are difficult to govern because they have too much knowledge.
When there are more laws, there are more criminals.
- Lao Tzu
Nice predictions everyone - they look really accurate. Just want to chip in and say that I expect Wii Play near the top, along with Crackdown - and the games from Jan (GHII, GOW, Nintendogs, NSMB). Maybe Lost Planet can sell another 100k? Resistance should be up there as (those PS3 units selling need to sell some software!), as may VF5. Wonder how the big PSP titles went? Zelda GC/Wii another 100k? (sold 400k combined in Jan)
Gesta Non Verba
Nocturnal is helping companies get cheaper game ratings in Australia:
Wii code: 2263 4706 2910 1099
Thursday, March 15th after the US Stock Market closes..about 4:30 pm on the East Coast of the USA. It takes a while for data to be leaked though
People are difficult to govern because they have too much knowledge.
When there are more laws, there are more criminals.
- Lao Tzu