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Forums - Website Topics - Poll of the Week: Wii Ltd Sales by Jan. 1, 2009

Griffin said:
Based on a quick glance at the numbers i would put the system at about 40.84 by the end of the year.

 

Thanks, Griffin.  Maybe when we do this again at the end of the year you will be your own man and vote with your mind rather than playing the games that fanboys do. 

I'd love for these polls to be more about people's real beliefs and opinions, rather than fanboys' reactions to perceived fanboy insults.  But sadly, knowing human nature, it's an empty hope.



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Well we've got about a day to go for this poll.

Anyone want to share their reasoning for their vote?

Maybe some of the 46-47 million responders can fill us in on how Nintendo's going to get that done.

And does 40-41 million seem like a fair projection?



44 - 45 is more likely.



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trestres said:

Let's take a look at the sales for last year's timeframe going from September to year's end.

 

Console Wii PS3 X360
Total
8,146,421
4,359,022
4,818,575

http://vgchartz.com/hwcomps.php?cons1=Wii®1=All&cons2=PS3®2=All&cons3=X360®3=All&start=39327&end=39446

Looking at the table and the graphs, we can notice how big are sales during the last third of the year.

Console Wii PS3 X360
Total
16,248,005
7,626,775
7,904,002

^ Those are 2007 total sales for each console, and as we can see sales during this time of the year represent more than half of the total sales.

In 2007 from September to year's end: Wii sold 50.14% of its total 2007 sales, PS3 sold 57.15% of the total sales and 360 sold 60.96% of the total.

Durign this year so far, this are the total sales until August end.

Console Wii PS3 X360
Total
12,581,936
6,359,169
4,679,137

If trends were to continue using last year's numbers we could expect something like this:

Wii at 25,234,528 units for the entire year, placing it at a total of 44,430,328 units.

PS3 at 14,840,534 units for the entire year, placing it at a total of 23,699,760 units.

X360 at 11,985,404 units for the entire year, placing it at a total of 27,831,894 units.

 

But there are things going on that will prevent this from happening. First PS3 saw a price cut last year at this time of the year, that allowed it to boost its sales a lot, while this year only a new model for the same price will be available. So we can expect sales not to follow this same pattern, considering that its biggest games of the year have already been released, so a boost from them is unlikely.

Second, 360 had Halo 3 at this time of the year last year, and this year there's nothing comparable to that. The only thing that may have an effect is the upcoming price cut, but we can expect sales to be lower than last year because there's no Halo this year. YoY sales for the last weeks have been lower than last years same weeks, that should be taken into account too.

Lastly, Wii is up from last year during this same timeframe. Selling at a constant 300 - 350k weekly average, that's higher than a lot of weeks from last year at this same times, where Wii was selling in the low 200k's. With this year's increased manufacturing capabilities Wii sales should remain up. So we can expect a big holiday if supply holds up to demand.

Taking all this into account I think a safe bet for the Wii will be 45 million, 21.5 million for the PS3 and 26 million for the 360.

 

 Well said!



The only thing stuck in my head for Wii numbers is 42.5m by year's end. I'll stick with that.



Leatherhat on July 6th, 2012 3pm. Vita sales:"3 mil for COD 2 mil for AC. Maybe more. "  thehusbo on July 6th, 2012 5pm. Vita sales:"5 mil for COD 2.2 mil for AC."

46.00M.  Bam.



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Chrizum said:
42-43 million. Anyone thinking it will sell more than 45 or less than 40 is a complete and utter idiot.

Wuh-oh.



Wow. Really exceeded people's expectations.



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