You never know.....

Am with him...

I'm not being sarcastic here.  I actually am curious and want a real answer.  Why do people think the Wii won't/can't sell 100 million?  It is outpacing the PS2 in every region and worldwide.  The PS2 has sold far more than a 100 million so it'll take a monumental collapse not seen since the bottom fell out of the Beanie Babies market to stop it from hitting 100 million.  It's still supply constrained in NA so we don't even know the limit of how many people are willing to pay $250 let alone after price drops/bundles/new colors.  And it's attracting millions of people who weren't even considered gamers last generation so as far as I see it has a chance to outsell the PS2.

All that said why do you still think the Wii can't hit 100 million?

I agree

The Wii will hit 100mil first no doubt due to it's cheap price point and ton of fun casual games.

PS3 will get there eventually but 2 years later. The PS3 will appeal to everyone in a couple of years as it will have every genre covered with solid games.

- FPS (Resistance Series, Killzone 2, COD series)
- Platformers (R&C series, LBP)
- Casual Games (SingStar Series, Buzz, LBP, Eye Pet)
- Racing Games (GT series, Motorstorm series)
- Beat Um Up's (Tekken 6, SC4, VF5, SF4)
- Action Adventure (GTA series, Uncharted, Infamous, RE5)
- RPG'S (FF13, FFV13, DS3, VK, WNK, FOLKLORE)
- Hack/Slash (GOW3, Heavenly Sword, Ninja Gaiden Sigma)
- MMO's (DC Universe, The Agency)
- HOME (IT'S GONNA BE HUGE)

and many more such as MAG etc.

In addition to this
- Blu Ray will really kick in by 2011 making PS3 more relavent to movie buffs
- PSN will be solid and will have all bases covered
- The Price should definitly be $299 by 2011 if not less
- HD adoption will be huge by then and a PS3 would be the perfect addition

With market growth being huge, especially in the EU and with the Wii and DS getting new gamers, the potential customer range sould be about 350 Mil. And in the end it should be like this

Wii = 150 Mil
PS3 = 160 Mil (Blu Ray will make this thing sell, trust me)
360 = 40 Mil

one word.. what?  Also Casual is a genre of games.

First to 100 million wins.... 10 years plan !!

I don't know how many more delusional Sony fan boys the captain can take.

Honestly, I'm wondering whether we're going to start to see a massive feedback loop which could (effectively) "Kill Off" the HD consoles ...

The success of the Wii should justify at least equal investment in Wii games as compared to HD games, but the Wii's lower development cost and shorter developmet cycle should translate into many more games being released off of the same investment; to a certain extent we have started to see this from the higher number of announced games for the Wii as compared to the XBox 360 and PS3 over the same timeframe. As the Wii starts to have a more constant release schedule of "quality" games its library will look more attractive to consumers than the PS3 or XBox 360's library which should translate to higher sales. As the sales grow it becomes more likely that investment in Wii development will become greater than HD game development, which will turn into the release schedule favouring the Wii on a more disproportionate level, which will push Wii sales further.

At this point in time it is impossible to see whether this is happening or not, but if the industry plays out this way in 2010/2011 the Wii could have a release schedule like the PS2 had in 2005 while the PS3 and XBox 360 could have a release schedule like the XBox and Gamecube in 2005.

The Wii will reach 100 million in no time, it will be almost halways there by the end of the year, and 2009 sales could be even higher if Nintendo addresses supply issues in NA and more core gamers are turned to the system by the increasing amount of core games coming to the Wii.

Casuals will buy it anyway.