jman8 said:
Jandre002 said: Haha yeah. It will sell that many easily with blu-ray and little big planet.
I think a lot of people saying it wont are shell shocked looking at just how well the PS3 has sold this year.
The PS3 has already sold almost double what it did last year at this point, and I see no signs of it slowing down. 15 million total for the year seems pretty likely, unless someone else has reasons stating why this trend will suddenly fall off? |
VGChartz has the PS3 selling 6 million units in the first 8 months of this year. Last holiday season (November and December), the PS3 sold 3.5million units and the Wii sold 6 million units. The PS3 would be very lucky to see 5 million sales during the holidays this year considering past data. 4 million at best. That means, to reach 15 million, Sony would have to sell 5 million PS3s in September and October combined. Not gonna happen.
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So wait a minute, you think the PS3 will only sell 500,000 more this year than last year during the holiday season?
Last year the PS3 through September sold 3,300,000 units. This year they have sold over 6,000,000 units.
Coming off a year like that you really think that from November to the end of the year they will only sell 500,000 more units than last year!? HUH?
Then, from beginning of September to the end of October the PS3 only averaged 114,000 a week. In October this year, LBP is going to be released, and retailers will start pushing Blu-Ray more heavily (meaning more PS3 sales). Considering past data and compeltely ignoring current data, sure, I could see how you could come up with 4,000,000 sales. Lol.
Edit:
If you want the way I come to these numbers, its like this. The PS3 should sell 225,000-275,000 per week average between September and October. (October is basically the biggest month for video games in a lot of ways, including LBP and Rock Band 2 on the PS3.) This was the lowest most disappointing part of the PS3 sales last year and they still sold 1,000,000+ in this period.
That would put the PS3 at 2,000,000 consoles for those 2 months. Then during the holiday season, seeing as it sold 3.5million last year (according to jman) I can see the PS3 hitting 5-5.5million in those two months.
That would equate to 7-8 million for those months, and 13-14 million for the year.
Am I pulling any impossible numbers from anywhere considering what happened last year?