mrstickball said:
...Because as first week sales rise for certain games, it becomes vastly more difficult for it to have similar percentage or ratio based legs. Just because the Wii sells twice the copies of Madden this year versus last year on the first week, doesn't mean the Wii version will track 100% better every week. As the more popular a game typically becomes on a console, and the higher the first week sales, the game usually trends down in terms of legs. This is the case for most franchise games. I would think that the Wii version of Madde 09 will sell around 300,000-600,000 extra units versus the 08 version.
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That, and it is also about userbase growth ...
Being that Madden 2009 sold twice as much as Madden 2008 in its initial week you would need to sell twice as many copies of Madden to new Wii owners in order to see similar legs produced by the introduction of new gamers; being that (at best) you could assume that late adopters to a generation had an equal distribution of Madden fans as early adopters, this would imply that Nintendo would need to sell twice as many Wii systems to keep this in balance.
This could be balanced out by having enough of a gain in people who bought Madden later in its life, but I suspect that most people buy Madden for their system fairly early if it is available for a system they own ...