I think it is a little high. But with a good 2nd half to this year and a few great exclusives next year you never know. But my guess is 35 million.

Actually Gran Turismo 5 is still set to be released in 2009. The possibility exists for it to be delayed until 2010, but it's nothing more than that. A possibility.

Final Fantasy XIII will likely sell at least 3 to 4 times better on PS3 than on 360 and hardware sales will reflect this. FFXIII isn't getting released on 360 in either Japan or Asia, and Final Fantasy titles typically sell best in Japan. Furthermore, Europe sales of FFXIII will of course heavily favor PS3 over 360 because Europe is practically Sonyland and this fact should become virtually indisputable by the time FFXIII is released there. Even as far as America is concerned, I wouldn't be surprised if FFXIII sold better on PS3 than 360. Final Fantasy has always had a strong association with PlayStation consoles and the fact that Final Fantasy Versus XIII is still PS3 exclusive will sway many buyers toward getting a PS3 versus a 360 for the Final Fantasy games alone.

Sony may perhaps not release a "slim" model of the PS3 next year, but you can bet your ass they'll be releasing a more cost-friendly model so as to stop selling systems at a loss. Naturally, a more cost-friendly model would a more consumer-friendly price.

Yeah your right. Aint going to happen. Ignore my last comment it will NOT happen.

Maybe my PS3 prediction is tad too high. My Wii and X360 predictions could be a little low. But hey I am a PS3 optimist, anything can happen.

I will stay with the 40 million PS3 sales figure by end of 2009. 18 million consoles sold in 2009 is possible- market growth and a boatload of top PS3 exclusives + a price cut of PS3 + slimline PS3.
So to be more realistic with the other two consoles: lets make the Wii 70 million by end of 2009. X360 I will be nice and say 35 million X360's sold. 2009 The X360 console sales should be down on 2008.

Glad to see that you changed your predictions.

To be an optimist for PS3 is one thing, but to predict so low for wii and 360 is stupid.  So thanks for changing your predictions.

I suck at predicting the future, so we shall see, but I don't think PS3 will be ahead of 360 at the end of 2009.  Maybe 2010.

it really depends on the price,,if they dropeed it $100/100 euro,,,it might,,,,but I think 35 is a safer bet

There are a few things that will push sales above my by-the-numbers prediction for PS3 of 30 million: Bluray releases, pricedrops, games, etc.

I think that the 360 will still have a slight lead or be equal at the end of 09, but early '10 will decide the "war".  I ultimately think PS3 will pass 360 shortly after.

On the other hand I think your 70 million Wii's by the end of '09 is too optimistic. (And I'm a Nintendo fan)

You can't make everyone happy.

Wii will be around 45 million consoles sold by the end of 2008. So 25 million Wii's sold in 2009 alone is reasonable.
PS3 will be around 22 million by the end of 2008. I predict 18 million PS3's sold in 2009. My reasons stated are in thread.
X360 will be around 25 million consoles sold by the end of 2008. I predict 10 million X360's sold in 2009.

@rock_on_2008, for xbxo sales to be down in o9 form o8, means ms did not cut price, and with only one offical price cut in the 3 years at 50 bucks mow that would be foolish, they may wait until febuary, but there has to be at least 50 bucks coming off, though it would be better to do 100 before fall 09, and that is 100 from the 349, id like to see it, but i doubt it will be 199 then.

I think one new sign that this gen will last longer, is how long price cuts are taking to come, and do not expect the ps3 slim till 2010 at the earliest. even then its a doubt i feel 2011-2012 better time frame for that 

A little too optimistic to be realistic, especially at a $399 entry point.

$299 would be a different story, but... I'd be very surprised to see that even by the 09 holiday season.

Additional die shrinks for both the RSX and CBE, along with reduced costs for BR diodes should help, but it's still too early for a PS3 slimline. Typically it takes a good 4-5 years from debut.

Although the PS3 is easily the console that can and will be reduced in price (both production cost and retail cost) over debut more than any other console to die a natural death, it's still going to take longer than three years.

Realistically, sales around 35 million is pretty generous, not taking any drastic, unexpected price cuts into consideration. But I think at this point, Sony's plan is and will continue to be pursuing increased profitability since the SCE division has been hurting company's stock due to under performance.