NJ5 said: Regarding number 4, you misunderstood (or didn't see) Sony's actual declarations. They didn't say they'd break even on the games division, they said they'd break even on a per-hardware-unit cost. Look here: If you were right and the current manufacturing cost was $350, I don't see why they'd think they'd only start breaking even on hardware towards the end of fiscal 2008 (meaning more than 6 months from now, potentially almost 9 months). |
We are now in fiscal year 2009, April 1, 2008 - March 31, 2009. The point in the interview above essentially stresses my assumptions that units _produced now_ are even on cost on a per-hardware-unit (with current sales distribution in the world regions) and that the manufacturing costs are around $350. (I have a reasonably good overview of hardware component costs from my past experiences in the electronics industry so I am pretty sure my cost breakdown of $350 per 40G PS3 (+10%/-5% is reasonably accurate. The breakdown can, however, breakdown if my assumptions are incorrect). Now how does that translate into the real world? The consumer pays a price X for the unit in the shop, which includes a sales tax (which can be anywhere from 0-100% if you live in the right or wrong country) and distributor margin (probably around 10%, margins are very low in that sector).
In NA, you pay about $400 (+local sales tax not included in this price) for a PS3 in the shop, In Japan, the price is lower (due to "home country where we must prevail considerations"), in Europe/Oceania, the price is significantly higher, over $600. In all likelyhood, Sony loses big in Japan, loses some in America/Asia and gains in Europe. As you can see, in the past weeks Europe/Oceania sells the most units while NA is losing and Japan is close to nonexisting. The low sales in Japan, where they lose the most money on hardware, and the small losses in America could easily be recovered with Europe/Oceania sales so total worldwide sales now can be cost neutral/positive, just as your link above suggests. (Now you see why Sony is milking Europe for as long as they can get away with). A critical question obviously is how low can manufacturing costs go, where is the pricepoint at which Sony cannot recover manufacturing costs. I don't think that point is far below $300 so a worldwide $299 PS3 would probably never be cost neutral for Sony.