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Forums - Sales - Now that we have seen MGS4 Japan first week, predict FF XIII (again)

So MGS4 sold 476k s/w and 77k h/w opening week in Japan, which is an anomaly in the established pattern of PS3 game sales compared to their PS2 counterpart.  First week sales of MGS4 are right in line with previous MGS titles.

 

So first week Japan sales.  I was originally predicting 1.2 mil. software and 120k hardware for that week.  However, I will have to up it a bit.  Here it is and I will stick with this until launch date (bookmark this thread as well).

 

S/W:  1.6 million

H/W:  160k (if no slim-line launched), 240k (if slim-line launched).

 

Most FFs began with around 2 mil. at launch in Japan.  The PS2 / PS1 had 5 million install base when launched.  However, I expect the attach rate to be abnormally high for the PS3 (much like MGS4), because the PS3 is the second place console there.  It's obvious many are buying for MGS and FF solely.



"Naturally the common people don't want war: Neither in Russia, nor in England, nor for that matter in Germany. That is understood. But, after all, IT IS THE LEADERS of the country who determine the policy and it is always a simple matter to drag the people along, whether it is a democracy, or a fascist dictatorship, or a parliament, or a communist dictatorship. Voice or no voice, the people can always be brought to the bidding of the leaders. That is easy. All you have to do is TELL THEM THEY ARE BEING ATTACKED, and denounce the peacemakers for lack of patriotism and exposing the country to danger. IT WORKS THE SAME IN ANY COUNTRY."  --Hermann Goering, leading Nazi party member, at the Nuremberg War Crime Trials 

 

Conservatives:  Pushing for a small enough government to be a guest in your living room, or even better - your uterus.

 

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What is up with these PS3 game sales predictions?



It depends on when the game is released. I would say 1.5mil though.



Is this the 100th thread abour predicting PS3 sales?

Anyhow:

800k-1.2 M

FF XIII will be big, but what about Versus XIII?



 

mM

1.5 million with hardware 150k



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software: 1.9 million
hardware: 145k



software: 2.2 mil
hardware: 220 k



my top 5 right now. 1. uncharted 2 2. assassin's creed 2 3. god of war 3 4. final fantasy xiii 5. blue dragon: awakened shadow.

The PS3 instal base by it's release will be around 4.5 million (Hopefully).

With that said, I'm thinking that the PS3's wont see some 2000% increase in a week like the OP suggests. I see FF13 selling amazingly well - similar to monster hunter 2G no but maybe around 80% of MH2G, this is behind the logic that Japan has a higher acceptance rate for handhelds over consoles. (That's the talking point recently.) How big time will tell when Monster Hunter 3 appears on the Wii. However their wont be even a 400% (or a jump to roughly 40,000 units)

MGS4 hardly flinched the demand in that area so this thread really had no point about being in Japan, as MGS had more of an effect in the US on hardware.

Actually I don't even believe it did, I'm still standing by Sony artificially creating demand, by taking away the only model of the S3 that can play Ps2 games. In otherwords I'm in the belief that the nature of the sales is skewed but the fact is the numbers are still there.



I'm Unamerica and you can too.

The Official Huge Monster Hunter Thread: 



The Hunt Begins 4/20/2010 =D

1.6 million software
160k hardware

@dob8rman: You expect the ps3's install base to more than double in about a year?



I expect a christmas 09 release for FF13 and i Expect a Similar bundle.

So i predict

1.4 million S/W
140k H/W