MGS4 is no Final Fantasy or Gran Turismo
The whole 1 million first day thing was already dismissed.
I don't even think it get a million it's first two weeks.
Worldwide, decent chance. If not it should still break 800k.
We had two bags of grass, seventy-five pellets of mescaline, five sheets of high-powered blotter acid, a salt shaker half full of cocaine, a whole galaxy of multi-colored uppers, downers, screamers, laughers…Also a quart of tequila, a quart of rum, a case of beer, a pint of raw ether and two dozen amyls. The only thing that really worried me was the ether. There is nothing in the world more helpless and irresponsible and depraved than a man in the depths of an ether binge. –Raoul Duke
It is hard to shed anything but crocodile tears over White House speechwriter Patrick Buchanan's tragic analysis of the Nixon debacle. "It's like Sisyphus," he said. "We rolled the rock all the way up the mountain...and it rolled right back down on us...." Neither Sisyphus nor the commander of the Light Brigade nor Pat Buchanan had the time or any real inclination to question what they were doing...a martyr, to the bitter end, to a "flawed" cause and a narrow, atavistic concept of conservative politics that has done more damage to itself and the country in less than six years than its liberal enemies could have done in two or three decades. -Hunter S. Thompson
750k first week is my guess. 1 million is really high, considering PS3 install base.
Even if it doesnt hit 1 million first day, Im sure it will hit it in 2
1 million in the first week is definitely possible WW. As for first day, well, good luck.
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i dont think it can do it in 1 day,but it could in 1 week
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I'm pretty sure that number was thrown out by Konami because LTD sales for a game like MGS4 should be fairly predictable based upon the initial (first day) sales, much like a blockbuster movies' opening day/weekend performance. It's not like an indie movie that develops a buzz that increases viewers and showings over time as more interest builds.
Most will agree that a game like MGS4 will be heavily top loaded sales-wise, with a projected attach rate for subsequent consoles sold based upon previous chapters of the game.
So if Konami's financial staff has a fairly accurate expectation for future attach rates for the game, they will be able to revise those expectations based upon initial sales.
If it sells significantly less than expected initially, two things happen: either the game experiences a higher than expected attach rate for future sales to compensate for the weaker than expected debut (unlikely), or the game sells less than expected overall, and Konami's stock takes a hit.
1m on day one, id be very suprised
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