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Forums - Sales Discussion - When Will Wii Fit pass GTAIV?

TheSource on 29 May 2008

Wii Fit has higher sales than the PS3 version of GTAIV already, and it is closing in on the Xbox 360 version of GTAIV.

GTA IV had a higher debut on both PS3 & 360.

However -

Wii Fit will outsell GTAIV in Japan by 2-3 million at least.

Wii Fit will have stronger legs.

 

I'll have a chart with my projections soon. 



People are difficult to govern because they have too much knowledge.

When there are more laws, there are more criminals.

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HappySqurriel on 29 May 2008

I suspect that this is going to be a marathon battle where Wii Fit finally takes the lead (over PS3+XBox 360 GTA4 sales) late in 2009/early 2010



rocketpig on 29 May 2008
HappySqurriel said:

I suspect that this is going to be a marathon battle where Wii Fit finally takes the lead (over PS3+XBox 360 GTA4 sales) late in 2009/early 2010


Yeah, I think it will pan out a lot like the SMG/Halo battle... Long and slow.




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macross on 29 May 2008

Most of the people believe, it won't! http://www.vgchartz.com/poll/results.php?pollid=23

You mean just Xbox 360 or both PS3 & Xbox 360?



Poor PS3 Sales Means Smaller Losses

"Actually, because the number of units sold was not as high as we hoped, the loss was better than our original expectation," Quotes from Sony’s CFO Nobuyuki Oneda.

outlawauron on 29 May 2008

Clarification-

Are you asking whether Wii Fit will one version of GTA or both versions combined?



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darthdevidem01 on 29 May 2008

@outlawron

he means combined



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TheSource on 29 May 2008

Its combined. Wii Fit has already topped GTAIV on PS3



People are difficult to govern because they have too much knowledge.

When there are more laws, there are more criminals.

- Lao Tzu

Ail on 29 May 2008

Sometime around black Friday :P
So still got a few months to wait !



PS3-Xbox360 gap : 1.5 millions and going up in PS3 favor !

PS3-Wii gap : 20 millions and going down !

outlawauron on 29 May 2008

Hmm, not sure. I agree with Happy Squirrel that we won't know the answer til much later in this generation.



"We'll toss the dice however they fall,
And snuggle the girls be they short or tall,
Then follow young Mat whenever he calls,
To dance with Jak o' the Shadows."

Check out MyAnimeList and my Game Collection. Owner of the 5 millionth post.

TheSource on 29 May 2008

I modelled it out assuming price cuts for all three systems, Mother's & Father's Day boosts for Wii Fit in 08'/09', longer winter holiday boosts for Wii Fit because Japan's peak sales are in January rather than Nov-Dec, and likely sales for each system...

My take: 220 weeks from Wii Fit's launch in the Americas, it will permanently pass GTAIV worldwide.

I simply extrapolated the GTAIV sales for PS3 & 360 combined and assume it will sell ~300k ish in Japan as well.

All units are sales, worldwide, in thousands. 

Week GTA IV (WW) Wii Fit (WW)
1 5900 1716
2 1680 850
3 840 600
4 540 520
5 290 300
6 165 315
7 130 245
8 110 225
9 100 200
10 95 160
11 95 145
12 95 135
13 95 130
14 95 127
15 95 125
16 90 124
17 90 130
18 90 135
19 90 140
20 90 120
21 85 115
22 80 110
23 80 100
24 80 95
25 80 90
26 80 90
27 80 100
28 85 130
29 90 150
30 105 170
31 125 265
32 135 240
33 150 275
34 200 350
35 225 185
36 250 185
37 275 170
38 200 165
39 120 120
40 90 110
41 75 100
42 65 85
43 60 80
44 55 75
45 50 70
46 50 65
47 50 65
48 60 85
49 65 105
50 70 110
51 60 90
52 50 120
53 45 115
54 40 110
55 35 90
56 35 75
57 30 65
58 25 80
59 25 65
60 35 55
61 30 50
62 30 50
63 35 45
64 45 45
65 50 45
66 45 45
67 40 45
68 40 45
69 35 45
70 30 45
71 30 45
72 25 45
73 25 40
74 35 40
75 55 40
76 55 40
77 55 40
78 45 40
79 40 40
80 35 75
81 30 90
82 30 120
83 60 160
84 65 200
85 75 235
86 90 300
87 115 215
88 125 145
89 165 115
90 105 55
91 50 45
92 25 40
93 20 35
94 20 35
95 20 35
96 20 35
97 20 35
98 20 35
99 20 35
100 20 35
101 30 35
102 40 35
103 40 35
104 40 65
105 40 65
106 40 60
107 35 60
108 35 60
109 35 60
110 35 55
111 35 55
112 35 55
113 30 55
114 30 55
115 30 55
116 30 55
117 30 50
118 30 50
119 30 50
120 30 50
121 30 50
122 25 50
123 25 50
124 20 45
125 20 45
126 20 45
127 20 45
128 20 45
129 20 45
130 20 65
131 20 90
132 20 110
133 35 135
134 45 150
135 55 165
136 75 170
137 100 125
138 115 100
139 130 90
140 65 75
141 30 40
142 20 30
143 15 25
144 15 25
145 15 25
146 15 25
147 15 25
148 15 25
149 15 25
150 15 25
151 25 25
152 25 25
153 25 25
154 25 25
155 25 20
156 25 20
157 25 20
158 25 35
159 25 35
160 25 35
161 25 35
162 25 35
163 25 35
164 25 35
165 25 35
166 25 35
167 25 35
168 20 35
169 20 35
170 20 35
171 20 35
172 20 30
173 20 30
174 20 30
175 15 30
176 15 30
177 15 30
178 15 25
179 15 25
180 15 25
181 15 25
182 15 40
183 15 50
184 15 60
185 30 75
186 40 90
187 50 110
188 60 130
189 75 90
190 85 75
191 95 35
192 45 20
193 30 20
194 15 20
195 15 20
196 15 20
197 10 20
198 10 20
199 10 20
200 10 20
201 10 20
202 10 20
203 10 20
204 10 20
205 10 20
206 10 20
207 8 15
208 8 15
209 8 15
210 8 15
211 8 15
212 8 15
213 8 15
214 8 15
215 8 15
216 8 15
217 8 15
218 8 15
219 8 15


People are difficult to govern because they have too much knowledge.

When there are more laws, there are more criminals.

- Lao Tzu