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Forums - Sales - MGS4 - SALES Prediction Thread -- HW & SW

i don't have an idea but no doubt that it will be a millions sellers in its first week



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darthdevidem01 said:
@AJ_Habfan

the word is

Pessimistic

 The pessimist is always pleasantly surprised 



2,000,000 software

315,000 hardware

those are totals numbers, i don't know in each region.

 

You heard it here first.



HappySqurriel said:

Week 1 prediction:

Metal Gear Solid 4
Japan: 200,000 to 300,000
North America: 500,000 to 750,000
Others: 500,000 to 750,000
Total: 1.2 Million to 1.8 Million

PS3
Japan: 40,000 to 60,000 20,000 to 40,000
North America: 130,000 to 170,000 60,000 to 100,000
Others 130,000 to 170,000 80,000 to 120,000
Total: 300,000 to 400,000 160,000 to 260,000

Looking at my numbers today I realized that I had the PS3 selling (in one week) about as many units as it sold in the entire month of April in several regions, and April saw the release of Grand Theft Auto 4 which is a much more popular game than Metal Gear Solid 4.

 

 



MANY people will buy 80GB MGS4 bundles.
There was almost NO bundles of GTA4.
GTA4 is a multiplatform title.

GT5P with BUNDLE did GREAT in Europe.

MGS4 will do even better, though i wish, Japan and Europe would also received 80GB bundles, instead of 40GB.

2 mln. SW and around 500k HW will be easy for PS3.



Every 5 seconds on earth one child dies from hunger...

2009.04.30 - PS3 will OUTSELL x360 atleast by the middle of 2010. Japan+Europe > NA.


Gran Turismo 3 - 1,06 mln. in 3 weeks with around 4 mln. PS2 on the launch.
Gran Turismo 4 - 1,16 mln. with 18 mln. PS2 on the launch.

Final Fantasy X - around 2 mln. with 5 mln. PS2 on the launch.
Final Fantasy X-2 - 2.4 mln. with 12 mln. PS2 on the launch.

 

1.8 mln. PS3 today(2008.01.17) in Japan. Now(2009.04.30) 3.16 mln. PS3 were sold in Japan.
PS3 will reach 4 mln. in Japan by the end of 2009 with average weekly sales 25k.

PS3 may reach 5 mln. in Japan by the end of 2009 with average weekly sales 50k.
PS2 2001 vs PS3 2008 sales numbers =) + New games released in Japan by 2009 that passed 100k so far

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Software:

NA - 390k
EU - 420k
JP - 245k
WW - 1,040k

Hardware

NA - 98k
EU - 130k
JP - 26k
WW - 254k

Maybe too conservative, but that is my nature :)



Bet - "PES 2009 (PS3) will sell (closer to) 150k first week in Japan" - Pooperscopper
"It will sell closer to 125k" - Me I agree.
ME = OWNED :(

End of '09 Predictions:

Wii: 78 million
X360: 35 million
PS3: 27 million

darthdevidem, Kojima called me, he said you don't have enough advertisements for Metal Gear Solid in your signature. Please add some more pictures on the right side, there's some gray space there.

OT: PS3 hardware should be up about 25-30% for the week of release. That would put it somewhere in the 200k region, although I could see it going higher to 225k. Really do not see this game boosting hardware above 250k, but of course I could be wrong. I have no clue on software; a million sales first week should definitely happen though.



My Website

End of 2008 totals: Wii 42m, 360 24m, PS3 18.5m (made Jan. 4, 2008)

@sullla

yeah I think I'm a few Gifs n PR lines short....



All hail the KING, Andrespetmonkey

Sw

Japan - 450.000

Us - 650.000

Europe - 750.000

Total - 1.850.000

Hw

Japan - 50.000

Us - 120.000

Europe - 150.000

Total - 320.000



 

I know there was a GTA boost recently with HW, but the 80GB will have a large affect on US hardware, and the MGS bundles will sell well in Japan, there are 100k avaliable (of 1 of those types) and I think those will sell pretty quickly
my newer predictions are:

SW: US 600k, EU 700k, JP 200k = 1.5m
HW: US 120k, EU 140k, JP 80k = 340k

(massive drop off in JP and US HW next week, something like 65k and 20k)