Definetly a reasonable assumption. I think the system is ready for a sales explosion with millions of gamers that only have a PS2 wanting a new system, and unwilling to take the jump to Microsoft. Some big exclusives, coupled with another price cut and Blu-Ray solifying itself as the format winner could be the combination for that explosion in sales.

Certainly by 2009 I see the PS3 passing the 360 worldwide, and it will never look back. The 360 has pretty much locked itself in the box of being a purely super hardcore older male gamers system. Gears 2 will sell a ton, but how much does it really expand Microsoft's base? Little Big Planet will outsell Banjo Kazooie 3 many times over, and that's just a symptom of Microsoft's long term problem.

30 million seems about right for the ps3, and 50 million for the wii i think is spot. good job guys, i like how we can talk about sales with out being fanboys about it...........game on!.

I don't think it will be 30 million, more like 25 million total.

The Wii is set to sell 25 million in the same time period and with current trends, i don't see the PS3 pulling in 18 million in sales in 13 months.

I read some ones post that GTA will hit 25 million sold due to DLC – the moment I read that I took a dull spoon and cut off my legs from the thigh to numb the retardation.

The user base for Both PS3 and Xbox360 would have to be over 200 million in order to get that kind of tie in.

The only game in history to get that with just 70 million user base was Super Mario Bros.
Right now new super Mario bros is doing the same thing on the DS.

GTA is officially the Internet flag of video games, but don’t fool yourself that isn’t the case anywhere else. Only 9% of people who play games even browse the gaming forums even less do it vigorously even less want GTA.

By next week we will see the legs it has, if it drops off WW to about 600k then guess what, for the next week it’s going to 300k then find its usual at 70k until four months from now it will be around 40k – which is still awesome, but after Christmas for 2008 it’s going to be in the 20k area. I’m talking weekly and World Wide.

My guess is it will sell more copies than Brawl by 2010 but less than Mario Kart, if their trends continues, and seeing as how I’ve played both, my subjective reasoning is MK will, my objective reasoning tells me theirs no reason why MK shouldn’t.

Considering the Wii’s user base is re including SNES, NES, GC and N64 user bases and that Mario Kart existed for each platform (not including hand helds) and currently the Wii is selling as fast as any given 2 of those systems combined, I think it’s safe to assume you should see a 45% increase in it’s life times sale when compared to it’s GC incarnation, and that’s being conservative.

I mean it’s common sense; the less people own a system the less people who are interested in that game, much, much less are the people who purchase that system to buy the game – regardless of if it’s Brawl or GTAIV or CoDIV.

These people just keep comparing the games sales like it’s some 1 legged dog race.

The that should be brought up which I’m sure it had in with other content is, Would X game had done as good on platform Y?

Because if Brawl was multiplatform and was on Wii would it have sold 1.8 mil us on Wii and 1.5 mil on PS3 in America? Would it have sold 800k on Wii and 600k on PS3 in Japan?

That’s already 2 regions where it’s expected to sell and the third is just around the corner, that’s the question I believe should be clarified first before threads like this are made.

Once japan actualy starts embracing the PS3 I can see your prediction becoming more plausible.

 50 million for Wii by June 2009? that's a bit low

By the end of 2008, the Wii should be around 46-48 ish because of the production increase 

june 2009 is about 13 months alway really. Ps3 is at 13 million (rounded up), so we'd need a strong 17 million sales for it to hit the 30 million. I think at this stage expecting more then 14 million WW sales in a year from the ps3 is risky to say the least.

by June 2009, based on current trends, I'm picking something like 25-26 million more realistic. To get 30 million I really feel that something a big as FF13 needs to hit the streets and for it to sell reasonably well in japan. In Europe ps3 will continue strong sales, possibly a growth (well 100% a good growth if GT5 hits before then). In USA its a little tricky; sales are up over 360 but not a hell of a lot, imo once the stigma of RROD is gone (if it can be removed) + gears of war 2 hits, I think 360 will best ps3 in america for a couple of months at least.

It'll be interesting to see in anycase, ATM I'm wondering how 360 will get out of its small slump its in and if the Wii can keep up its insane sales.

Rock_on_2008,

Hmm... is this a sign of Leo-J threads coming from you? Threads aimed at shocking people, but with somewhat weak arguments. Let's not hope so.

The PS3 will have zero chance of reaching 30 million sold by June 2009 (you even specify the number to 31 million later in the thread).
It has a decent chance of 27 million though.

The X360 on the other hand will have reached exactly 30 million sold by June 2009 as you said.

Wait, the Wii also appeals to gamers in general, that's obvious. You leaving that out is fanboyism, sir.

Also, I see the PS3 doing about 13-14 million within the next year. If correct, that will wind up well short of your prediction, which I think is slightly optimisitic.

The Wii will almost certainly continue to increase its sales lead Worldwide, as well. If you put the PS3 at 30 million, you have to put the Wii at 43 million bare minimum(which I believe is accurate), and that is if Sony somehow matches the Wii's pace the entire rest of the year, worldwide.

That's just not gonna happen for a little while, and two or three months with a big game isn't gonna make this a two way swing.

In other words, Sony will need the best possible scenerio to reach 30 million by next June. It's unlikely, and I wouldn't bet on it.

I won't buy a PS3 till I see 299 with wireless, ps2bak, 40gig, and a pack-in. I opted for a wii last year, and I am glad I did because there was no way to justify the 599 price, especially with no home and a severe lack of good gaming option. As the console ages, it'll hit that magic 299, home will be released, and there will be a better/larger catalog of games. Plus, I'll have an HDTV by then and can actually use the bluray.

I almost jumped on the 299 TRU deal, but with the lack of other options in both hardware, software, and online... i'll wait wii bit little longer.