even though I myself doubt it will hit 200 million....never say never

We can't even imagine the best case scenario with the Wii yet. 

 I wasn't saying not to look at the past.  I was saying "don't cherrypick convenient historical data that supports your agenda."  Look at ALL the history.  It all points to the Wii gaining momentum at this point, not slowing down.  Ever.

Geez.

200million its crazy,we must be realistic,i think 120 million

Realisitic should be 150-160 million, not 120.

This turned out to be popular thread.
Let's assume that Wii sells similarly with PS2 everywhere else besides Europe. And in Europe it would raise the number of consoles per habitant to same level with USA. That alone would be additional 60 million consoles, which would put Wii to 180 million (which would 200M look like the low end).

Wii definately has the sustaining power, it sells more software (whether it is 3rd of 1st party) than the competing platform, it's yet to see the 3rd party big hitters (which good software sales bring to the console) and Nintendo definately haven't shown what it holds in hand.

As for the 100M increase in market size, it's not a question about increase in number of units sold, but increase in percentage. Every time the market has expanded, it has had enormous growth (that's been unbelievable in comparision to previous size) and the worlds wealth overall has gone up from the last time, so there definately is the money required.

Unless competition manages to disrupt Nintendo next generation, Nintendo is the winner by default.

200 million you are kidding me. More like 120 million tops.

What I want to find out the most is if what Viper said will turn out to be true.

I think it'll sell 80 million. Just a random guess.

I can guarentee it won't sell 200 million.

Well...80 million....120 million...200 million...all very high numbers....it should be enough if it turns out to be Nintendo´s best selling home console ever.