This turned out to be popular thread.
Let's assume that Wii sells similarly with PS2 everywhere else besides Europe. And in Europe it would raise the number of consoles per habitant to same level with USA. That alone would be additional 60 million consoles, which would put Wii to 180 million (which would 200M look like the low end).
Wii definately has the sustaining power, it sells more software (whether it is 3rd of 1st party) than the competing platform, it's yet to see the 3rd party big hitters (which good software sales bring to the console) and Nintendo definately haven't shown what it holds in hand.
As for the 100M increase in market size, it's not a question about increase in number of units sold, but increase in percentage. Every time the market has expanded, it has had enormous growth (that's been unbelievable in comparision to previous size) and the worlds wealth overall has gone up from the last time, so there definately is the money required.
Unless competition manages to disrupt Nintendo next generation, Nintendo is the winner by default.
Ei Kiinasti.
Eikä Japanisti.
Vaan pannaan jalalla koreasti.
Nintendo games sell only on Nintendo system.
