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Forums - Sales Discussion - Wii, 200 million lifetime?

I was just wondering, that when the industry has changed, the new leading platform have accounted for, in number of units sold, a little more than what the size of the market previously was, and the market have experienced growth for the next generation. Dreamcast, PS2, Gamecube and Xbox adds up to around 180 million (with PS2 still selling), which would mean that Wii would be around 200 million when it has stopped selling, leaving 80 million to split between PS3 and 360. Then, a look for the next generation, Wiis successor would end up selling 220-230 million, leaving 70-80 million to split between competition. There are lies, damned lies and then there are statistics. So, please, discuss.



Ei Kiinasti.

Eikä Japanisti.

Vaan pannaan jalalla koreasti.

 

Nintendo games sell only on Nintendo system.

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do you foresee the Wii to be in market for 10 years like PS2 is doing?



Soriku (Feb 10/08): In 5 years the PS3/360 will be dead.

KH3 bet: "If KH3 comes to Wii exclusive, I will take a 1 month of sig/avatar by otheres open a thread apologize and praise you guys' brilliance." http://vgchartz.com/forum/thread.php?start=50&id=18379
Original cast: Badonkadonkhr, sc94597 allaboutthegames885, kingofwale, Soriku, ctk495, skeezer, RDBRaptor, Mirson,

Episode 1: OOPSY!
selnor
: Too Human I even expect 3-4 mill entire life and 500,000 first day. GoW2 ( expect 7 - 9 million entire life and over 2 mill first day), Fable 2 (expect 5-6 million entire life and 1.5 mill fist day) BK3 (expect 4 - 5 mill sales entire life and 1 mill first day).. Tales/IU/TLR should get to 2 or 3 million! post id: 868878
Episode 2:
Letsdance: FFXIII (PS3+360) first week in NA = 286K
According to pre-order rate in week 13 (post id: 2902544)

Please dont talk about wii's succesor, because for wii owners thats a kick in the balls like saying " Ha ha a new PS4 is coming in less than 5 years haha!!" Its makes your purchase seem like a waste.

On the other hand, I dont see wii doing PS2 Life time sales, nintendo is not god that can magically destroy every other console because of wii.



 

mM

Uhh... I don't think so.

I'd have to see where the PS2 is going to stop at, and what the Wii's trending like right now, but I think 150 mil lifetime



kingofwale said:
do you foresee the Wii to be in market for 10 years like PS2 is doing?

I don't see why not, besides, if the shipments would average Nintendos FY09 predictions from now on, Wii would reach 200M 7 years from now, or 8,5 years after its launch.

Ei Kiinasti.

Eikä Japanisti.

Vaan pannaan jalalla koreasti.

 

Nintendo games sell only on Nintendo system.

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i even doubt 200 million
I think 150 million



It could be done, but is it likely? Only if their market expansion is successful and they break the "33% of households" penetration barrier that consoles have faced since the dawn of consoles. So really, there's no way to say for sure at this point. Maybe if a survey was done in late 2009 or early 2010 to ask how many households own a Wii in each major country, we could come up with something resembling a reasonable figure, but...



Sky Render - Sanity is for the weak.

bdbdbd said:
kingofwale said:
do you foresee the Wii to be in market for 10 years like PS2 is doing?

 

I don't see why not, besides, if the shipments would average Nintendos FY09 predictions from now on, Wii would reach 200M 7 years from now, or 8,5 years after its launch.

 i doubt the Wii will still be "alive"in 10 years cause I expect the Wii2 on maybe 6 years



200 million isn't going to happen.

I'd even suggest 150 million is on the extreme high end.



The rEVOLution is not being televised

I'm going to say 6 years, with the successor coming out at price $249 in year 7. I am going to say. 130 million Wii lifetime.



Soriku (Feb 10/08): In 5 years the PS3/360 will be dead.

KH3 bet: "If KH3 comes to Wii exclusive, I will take a 1 month of sig/avatar by otheres open a thread apologize and praise you guys' brilliance." http://vgchartz.com/forum/thread.php?start=50&id=18379
Original cast: Badonkadonkhr, sc94597 allaboutthegames885, kingofwale, Soriku, ctk495, skeezer, RDBRaptor, Mirson,

Episode 1: OOPSY!
selnor
: Too Human I even expect 3-4 mill entire life and 500,000 first day. GoW2 ( expect 7 - 9 million entire life and over 2 mill first day), Fable 2 (expect 5-6 million entire life and 1.5 mill fist day) BK3 (expect 4 - 5 mill sales entire life and 1 mill first day).. Tales/IU/TLR should get to 2 or 3 million! post id: 868878
Episode 2:
Letsdance: FFXIII (PS3+360) first week in NA = 286K
According to pre-order rate in week 13 (post id: 2902544)