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Forums - Sales - How many units GTA 6 will sell by the end of 2027?

 

How many units GTA 6 will sell by the end of 2027?

Under 30M 3 5.88%
 
30-50М 15 29.41%
 
50-70М 22 43.14%
 
70-100М 7 13.73%
 
100М+ 4 7.84%
 
Total:51

From Chartz

Twitch CEO Dan Clancy in an interview with Bloomberg said the company has been talking with Rockstar about their plans and said there will be a big bump when the game launches, with a second bump next year when the multiplayer releases.

"We spent a lot of time talking with Rockstar about their plans, and also helping them think about how they can engage our creators," said Clancy. "You are going to see this big bump with GTA 6, but then an even bigger one next year when they launch multiplayer."

I am assuming that like GTA 5 the multiplayer mode will be apart of the main game and not sold as a seperate purchase. There is always the possibility that the online mode is aslo sold seperately (for like 20USD insteal of 80USD) or is included in GTA+.  But assuming it is part of the original purchase, this will generate another huge spike again in 2027.

For folks predicting units of GTA 6 by the end of 2027.



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I bought a copy for my Ai Agent to play



我是广州人

Ashadelo said:

I bought a copy for my Ai Agent to play

You know, I hate to look it up, but I am sure there are already AI agents playing games out there... especially grindy ones...



So 50- 70 seems good by end of 2027 but this could also be dramatically higher if the following were to occur:

1. Obviously if it didn't launch on PC by years end but I wouldn't hold my breath.
2. If next gen PlayStation and Xbox launch, you can expect that to drive sales as well.
3. If GTA Online is not offered in a separate standalone purchase, this by itself will boost sales.

So 50-70 million is safe bet
But 70-100 million us the most likely if other factors come true.



Oh yeah one more thing. After the game releases in November I wont to probe how everything turns out on Series S. My theroy is that this will let us know if a Switch 2 version is reasonably possible. Now, I know that this thread is about end of 2027... but what if the game releases launches on Switch 2 around or after the PC release? Maybe this is about 2028 LTD sales but I wonder how a Switch release would change the calculus of overall sales. But like I said, lets see how the four main machines fair first before jumping to that.



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There was another rumor of a Switch 2 release based on a statement by Devin Pritchard (Nintendo of America president) when asked by Variety magazine whether GTA 6 would come to the Switch 2.

Her response is that it is a "conversation between Rockstar and Taketwo"

This suggests that Nintendo would not be opposed. And nothing more than that.

Now as many of you may already know, it was long rumored that RDR2 would come to PS5, Switch 2 and Xbox SX. This turned into a post GTA 6 release 2027 project... due to the realization by R* that it was massively behind in GTA 6 development.

And RDR 2 runs at over 100 FPS on a hacked PS5 so clearly it can run on the Switch 2 in a decent capacity. So expect it.

Now when it comes to GTA 6, we really need to see the Xbox Series S to see what concessions even look like. I believe that its is definitely possible but it would need to be a bespoke version with bespoke settings. First, we have no idea how big this game is. It may actually exceed 200 GB which would easily exceed what is viable on the Switch. Now keep in mind the largest Switch games, FF7 Rebirth, is 81 GB compared to 147GB on the PS5.

Even a 61% decrease by shrinking textures would leave a massive 120+ install file and that hit to texture quality is gonna be huge. May not be pretty, but still doable.

The Second issue is harder to overcome. Its the CPU (isn't it always) . So, I yes, I want to start off by saying that PS5 mode specs have not been confirmed by R* at this point. But at this point there is only a 30FPS mode on the PS5 that we know of. If it is true that the CPU is locking the PS5 to 30 FPS, then there is no chance of getting this game to run at 30 without heavily changing the simulation itself ( as in turning it off lol).

For the record i think a 60 FPS mode is possible on the PS5 which leaves the possibility of running on Switch 2 as a possibility...kinda.

Another issue on the Switch 2 may be streaming speeds... traveling the map at speeds could causing hitches... although this could be alleviated by having smaller textures to begin with to address the first issue.

As far as GPU I will reserve judgment till we see the Series S.

If all this can be addressed and it doesn't have a material impact on the experience then I could definitely see it eventually making it to Switch 2 and possibly proceeding a PC launch.



GTA 6 physical edition is no longer in stock on Amazon... which I find strange but most likely, they have sold out of their allocation and are waiting to recieve confirmation of more stock before they offer them again.