Trends are important, all consoles seems very affected by the general economic situation, but Switch 2 seems to be the hardest hit outside Xbox. Switch 2 is selling less this November than the almost dead Switch 1 did in many markets last November, which should be impossible.

The Switch 1 was not almost dead last year. Its November 2024 was about the same as its 2017 one worldwide.

November NPD sales since 2001

- PS1, N64 and GB are missing from the ealy 2000's and GBA sales from 2007 are also missing.
- Numbers from 2023 onwards are estimations

The doomers were out in droves in 2017-2018, then grew eerily silent from 2019 onwards. Now they’re rearing their ugly heads again lol

What seems to be happening in western markets is close to Mat Piscatella's theory on Switch 2, that demand would be moved forward for it, due it being so widely available since launch both in the US and Europe, leading to lower sales boost late 2025. That also explains why Japan on the other hand is seeing a more traditional late year surge of Switch 2 sales, because Japan was the only major market where the Switch 2 wasn't widely available since launch, so they still had way more untapped demand left in Japan than in the US and Europe.

The Switch 2's 2026 probably won't be much better than the Switch 1's 2018 so I expect it'll continue throughout next year despite it selling really well, just not extremely well any more.

To complete this

PS1
1995 : 95k
1996 : 345k
1997 : 865k
1998 : 980k
1999 : 820k
2000 : 432k
2001 : 235k
2002 : 275k
2003 : 182k
2004 : 28k

N64
1996 : 590k
1997 : 715k
1998 : 720k
1999 : 465k
2000 : 285k
2001 : 80k

SAT
1995 : 25k
1996 : 48k
1997 : 15k
1998 : 4k
1999 : <1k

SDC
1999 : 250k
2000 : 195k
2001 : 259k

GBP
1997 : 347k
1998 : 427k

Switch 2 having a worst December than all of the Switch November (bar this one obviously) is not a good sign.

The Switch 2 had incredible momentum at launch with its biggest game and widely available. Now, the early adopters are done, and there are no big game to lift the console. I anticipated that the prices would be a problem.

It's absolutely a problem in Europe where the PS5 is now cheaper and it has become to be a problem in the US now as well. The problem is that this can't be easily solved with the prices of the components. Th software is also very overpriced and and will limit the amounts of games sold so that won't help the HW side.

Only digital PS5 is cheaper than Switch 2. PS5 with disc drive is only cheaper with heavy discounts, and the Pro is much more expensive.

When PS5 faced shortages, retailers force bundled multiple games and even accessories to control demand and increase profits. They stopped when shipments met demand.

Nintendo probably needs to stop forcing Mario Kart World bundles if they wish to maximize hardware sales without losing money. In Europe, every Mario Kart World is effectively being sold at only €40 when bundled (vs the official €90 physical.) By shipping more standard consoles without MKW bundled, hardware sales should improve, and MKW's dollar sales may stay about the same.

I wonder why MKW is being mass bundled at a discount. Doesn't seem like a good move but what do I know.

Nintendo has to get to work now with the Switch 2. Enough with the secrecy stuff around the machine, start giving up Nintendo Directs and start showing the next big wave of software titles already.

It feels like they purposefully also wanted only limited numbers of third party games through 2025.

480k for November is not a good number.

I think November shoppers are really drawn to sales only (especially on Black Friday). No one is willing to buy anything unless it's on sale because Black Friday week has become the norm for so many shoppers.