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Forums - Sales - November 2025 Circana (NPD) Thread + Predictions

Soo when will we know?



 

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xl-klaudkil said:

Soo when will we know?

The rankings are out now.

PS5 - 1st, Switch 2 - 2nd, NEX Playground - 3rd, Xbox Series X/S - 4th



Terrible month across the board. Unless you are the NEX. PS5 has to be down quite a bit year-on-year. NS2 is below NS1's Nov 2017. XS and NS1 sales for the month have to be WAY down. 

I'm working on the breakdown article right now.

Last edited by trunkswd - 3 hours ago

VGChartz Sales Analyst and Writer - William D'Angelo - I stream on Twitch and have my own YouTube channel discussing gaming sales and news. Follow me on Bluesky.

I post and adjust the VGChartz hardware estimates, with help from Machina.

Writer of the Sales Comparison | Monthly Hardware Breakdown Monthly Sales Analysis | Marketshare Features, as well as daily news on the Video Game Industry.

I am shocked that NS2 is below NS1's Nov 2017



Results added to the OP.

This is the worst November for hardware since 1995.



VGChartz Sales Analyst and Writer - William D'Angelo - I stream on Twitch and have my own YouTube channel discussing gaming sales and news. Follow me on Bluesky.

I post and adjust the VGChartz hardware estimates, with help from Machina.

Writer of the Sales Comparison | Monthly Hardware Breakdown Monthly Sales Analysis | Marketshare Features, as well as daily news on the Video Game Industry.

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Hardware info:

Units sold for the PS5 is down over 40 percent year-on-year, while the Xbox Series X|S is down 70 percent, and the combined sales of the Switch 2 and Switch are down over 10 percent from Switch sales last year (via IGN).

Given our estimates from last year that would be:

  • Total: 1.6M units
  • PS5 - <743k
  • NS + NS2 - <535k
  • NEX - 210-250k
  • XS - 130k
Last edited by trunkswd - 3 hours ago

VGChartz Sales Analyst and Writer - William D'Angelo - I stream on Twitch and have my own YouTube channel discussing gaming sales and news. Follow me on Bluesky.

I post and adjust the VGChartz hardware estimates, with help from Machina.

Writer of the Sales Comparison | Monthly Hardware Breakdown Monthly Sales Analysis | Marketshare Features, as well as daily news on the Video Game Industry.

This could be the first major sign that the Switch 2's sales curve will be notably more frontloaded than the Switch 1's with it potentially having a worse first holiday season than the latter after having a record shattering launch. A significant amount of people who normally would've gotten one next year or even later got one earlier this year due to expecting it to get a price increase down the line so even though its first fiscal year is still gonna be incredible its next one might not be much better than the Switch 1's 2nd full fiscal year, especially if it gets a price increase during it.

Also good thing the PS5 is doing extremely well in Europe currently to make up for this weak performance in the US potentially being over 40% down compared to November 2018 for the PS4 whereas Xbox Series on the other hand is truly dead now even in its home market by falling out the top 3 and the Switch 1 collapsed YoY due to the price increase and lack of deals as expected. And BO7 only being the 7th best selling game of the year so far is wild to see even if it's gonna be higher after December. BO6 was ranked 3rd for the year in 2024 after its launch month despite only getting a few days in October where as BO7 had multiple full weeks of sales.

Last edited by Norion - 3 hours ago

Norion said:

This could be the first major sign that the Switch 2's sales curve will be notably more frontloaded than the Switch 1's with it potentially having a worse first holiday season than the latter after having a record shattering launch. A significant amount of people who normally would've gotten one next year or even later got one earlier this year due to expecting it to get a price increase down the line so even though its first fiscal year is still gonna be incredible its next one might not be much better than the Switch 1's 2nd full fiscal year, especially if it gets a price increase during it.

Also good thing the PS5 is doing extremely well in Europe currently to make up this weak performance in the US potentially being over 40% down compared to November 2018 for the PS4 whereas Xbox Series on the other hand is truly dead now even in its home market by falling out the top 3 and the Switch 1 collapsed YoY due to the price increase and lack of deals as expected. And BO7 only being the 7th best selling game of the year so far is wild to see even if it's gonna be higher after December. BO6 was ranked 3rd for the year in 2024 after its launch month despite only getting a few days in October where as BO7 had multiple full weeks of sales.

Yeah it was an awful month for everyone not named NEX. 



VGChartz Sales Analyst and Writer - William D'Angelo - I stream on Twitch and have my own YouTube channel discussing gaming sales and news. Follow me on Bluesky.

I post and adjust the VGChartz hardware estimates, with help from Machina.

Writer of the Sales Comparison | Monthly Hardware Breakdown Monthly Sales Analysis | Marketshare Features, as well as daily news on the Video Game Industry.

trunkswd said:
Norion said:

This could be the first major sign that the Switch 2's sales curve will be notably more frontloaded than the Switch 1's with it potentially having a worse first holiday season than the latter after having a record shattering launch. A significant amount of people who normally would've gotten one next year or even later got one earlier this year due to expecting it to get a price increase down the line so even though its first fiscal year is still gonna be incredible its next one might not be much better than the Switch 1's 2nd full fiscal year, especially if it gets a price increase during it.

Also good thing the PS5 is doing extremely well in Europe currently to make up this weak performance in the US potentially being over 40% down compared to November 2018 for the PS4 whereas Xbox Series on the other hand is truly dead now even in its home market by falling out the top 3 and the Switch 1 collapsed YoY due to the price increase and lack of deals as expected. And BO7 only being the 7th best selling game of the year so far is wild to see even if it's gonna be higher after December. BO6 was ranked 3rd for the year in 2024 after its launch month despite only getting a few days in October where as BO7 had multiple full weeks of sales.

Yeah it was an awful month for everyone not named NEX. 

Given the economic situation console sales are probably gonna be pretty rough in the US January-October next year.



Norion said:
trunkswd said:

Yeah it was an awful month for everyone not named NEX. 

Given the economic situation console sales are probably gonna be pretty rough in the US January-October next year.

Unless the prices come down I agree. Sales are gonna be bad. December should be good for Switch 2 given several retailers discounted the MK bundle by $50 for Cyber Monday.



VGChartz Sales Analyst and Writer - William D'Angelo - I stream on Twitch and have my own YouTube channel discussing gaming sales and news. Follow me on Bluesky.

I post and adjust the VGChartz hardware estimates, with help from Machina.

Writer of the Sales Comparison | Monthly Hardware Breakdown Monthly Sales Analysis | Marketshare Features, as well as daily news on the Video Game Industry.