I kept my 3DS because it's a unique gaming experience that cannot be had anywhere else... And considering that I paid $250 AUD brand new for one and now they sell above $800 AUD, even more reason to hang onto it I think.

Obviously selling my Switch will fund my next console or buy some games. No kids, but I would rather they would play outside anyway.

Doubtful, but the way Sony and Microsoft are going they aren't exactly doing anything to take customers away.

I'm expecting it to be successful but there's more competition in the niche Switch carved out for itself back in 2017.

I don’t think Steam Deck and Lenovo would be true competition. Mostly because almost no one has heard of Lenovo’s hybrid, and Steam Deck (though very nice) won’t be able to play Nintendo 1st party plus Switch and Switch 2 are/will be heavy indie players. I do agree that the niche has been carved, and it has grown into the future of the industry. As Xbox is dying and Sony is “suffering” in its home country (though that does put a dampener on PS5 unit sales, it won’t destroy the image of the PlayStation dynasty).

If the first Switch can reach 150m+, I don't see why the 2nd one can't or won't.

edit: wow I'm actually one of the most positive voters here for the Switch2.

It will outsell the Switch launch aligned handily until we get to the pandemic, then it will get whopped.

100% over at least 100mill.

It depends on many variables. BUT, if that console have the tech specs some are already commenting... being a portable... that can be HUGE. This machine could have some excellent graphics, because for the first time in MAAAANY years, a console by Nintendo maybe will have some SURPRISINGLY GOOD specs.
If this is real, it will be the first time since N64 and Gamecube that I'm being teased by a Nintendo console, and that's not normal at all, being the WiiU the lowest point even in its own presentation, in mid-2011! We'll see. We'll see.

But If that is true, expect to sell a lot more that many think if this machine has a "popular" price (around 400$). Many many many players will be more than pleased to have a "PS4/One graphics" portable, including many Sony users, and that could break the actual generation and make serious changes for the next one for Sony and MS. Also, expect ALL the japanese developers, financially choking because the high costs in development for the domestic consoles... to just get mediocre sells, bet hard on Switch 2 for maaaany years.

I think it will sell quickly but that doesn't mean it will maintain those peak sales, just look at PS5. I think there is a fair portion of Switch's userbase that are extremely casual gamers and the Switch in its current state fulfils their needs, they'll just keep going back to Mario Kart 8 etc. 

It will do over 100m for sure but I think will see a bit of what we saw with the 3DS where a portion of the audience simply do not return.

Assuming Nintendo isn’t about to drop a $600 price tag, and assuming that they haven’t just completely forgotten how to output a consistent stream of system-selling releases, I see NSW2 performing *significantly* stronger than NSW for the first 2-3y esp if 3rd party support is as strong as rumors claim it as being. Consumer interest is there: Nearly 20mil views on the reveal trailer (in USA alone) is extremely powerful! For reference, Zelda TotK’s highest viewed trailer only pulled 8mil within it’s first wk, yet went on to move through 10mil within its first 72hr. An estimate of 18-24mil for F’26 is not entirely unrealistic, and would give NSW2 a massive leg up on NSW.

Looking beyond year three? It would take something insane for NSW2 to outsell NSW’s 29mil (F’21) + 24mil (F’22)…though I do believe NSW2 will probably settle around — if not significantly higher — than NSW LTD. The start should be strong enough to compensate for the COVID losses NSW2 will endure…tho this is all just pie-in-the-sky expectations. Almost impossible to genuinely predict anything at this moment.

calm down lol. Even if we knew 1st party, price, and wtvr else, we still wouldn’t be a whole lot closer to accurately projecting NSW2’s commercial performance. This still is just speculation from some random ppl on a vg forum. No need to be so aggressive abt it, it’s not that srs…