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Forums - Sales Discussion - Lifetime sales predictions for current consoles?

At this point in time what do you think the lifetime sales totals of the 9th generation of consoles will be? My guesses are...

Nintendo Switch - 161 million 

PlayStation 5 -110 million

Xbox Series X/S- 47 million 



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My prediction is:

Switch: 160M

PS5: 115M

XBSX: 45M



Switch 156m
PS5 119m
Xbox series 47m



Switch: 157M

PS5:128M

XBSX: 42M



The current gen is the most useless, almost no exclusive great AAA games for it. I brought Series S/X and PS5 and I couldn't be any more less enthusiastic about them.
I would be surprised if PS5 reach 110 mil, especially in the light of PS5 Pro. I think 100 mil is optimistic.



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Goomba said:

The current gen is the most useless, almost no exclusive great AAA games for it. I brought Series S/X and PS5 and I couldn't be any more less enthusiastic about them.
I would be surprised if PS5 reach 110 mil, especially in the light of PS5 Pro. I think 100 mil is optimistic.

I can agree with this point somewhat, but I think that the gen will last longer than usually. Mostly because the rate of high profile game releases gets lower.  



Switch: 163M
PS5: 108M
XBO: 44M



Switch: 158m (Phased out quickly after replacement like PS4/DS)

PS5: 125m (Sells better than PS4 due to defecting Xbox users, but it's higher cost does limit it somewhat)

XBS: 39m (Now that its games are coming to PS5, its sales peter out)



Pajderman said:
Goomba said:

The current gen is the most useless, almost no exclusive great AAA games for it. I brought Series S/X and PS5 and I couldn't be any more less enthusiastic about them.
I would be surprised if PS5 reach 110 mil, especially in the light of PS5 Pro. I think 100 mil is optimistic.

I can agree with this point somewhat, but I think that the gen will last longer than usually. Mostly because the rate of high profile game releases gets lower.  

By 2027 the PS5 is at risk of being just as fast as an AMD APU (and I don't mean the Strix Halo which should come late this year/early next year and already beat the PS5), meaning 720p-1080p low would be standard PS5 settings by then. On a big TV that lack of visual fidelity will be absolutely visible.

Switch can get away with those things due to being a handheld system (and even then it has it's limits, Mortal Kombat 1, anyone?), but a console whose entire premise is it's graphical prowess? I seriously doubt that.



PS5 = <90M
Series = <40M
Switch = ~152M