I was including the various remakes and remasters under "rereleases" and referring to sales the original games, my bad, I should have made that more clear. We also don't have any numbers on LA Switch since 2022 so it's hard to measure against it.

What's this pessimism in here? The game is gonna clear 10mil lifetime with 5mil in the first week (Sept 26-Sept 30)

Well... You did predict 20m shipped for Mario Wonder in it's first quarter and it did 12m, so it might be you're usually ridiculously optimistic. But we'll see.

I’m kinda with you on this. This ‘curse’ had never failed.

i am going to be bold too, Yes, it will and it will do 10.2 mil lifetime

Isn’t it 3D?

It will do between 2.5 and 5 millions.

I will not buy it (and I did buy Link's awakening remake and A Link Between World on 3DS).

The art style is bad, and playing as Zelda turn it instantly into a secondary spin off and I think that will throw some people off. It will do better than Princess Peach game but won't appeal to a large audience and will be labeled girly due to Zelda and the artstyle.

Yeap, was off alot on that one, that said there is a number of reasons in would say EoW could hir close to if not over 5mil in its OP quarter. Links awakening with a similar timeframes did 3.13mil. Granted it was a remake but obviously first 2d zelda game on the system.

EoW has alot more going for it, aside from the obvious it's a new game, This game could be backed up by the many new players the Zelda franchise brought in after Links Awakening released. Obviously larger userbase, and while I dont think itll be front loaded (like TotK explosive launch to slower legs), I do think 3.13mil remake --> 5mil New game is possible

It's graphics are rendered in 3D, but gameplay takes place on a 2D plane, hence "2D" in quotation marks, just as an easier way of communicating the games I am talking about, as opposed to the 3D entries from Ocarina of Time to Tears of the Kingdom.

Yeah pretty much this. I'm still on the fence over whether I'll eventually get this game because I'd be way more interested in it if there was active combat instead of passive. The main gameplay mechanic would be cool if it was in addition to normal Zelda combat, but with that mechanic driving the entire gameplay, I dunno, just doesn't have the same appeal.

Looks cool for what it is, but what it is looks definitely less cool than a fighting Zelda would be. I think it'll sell a couple million less than whatever it would have with active combat. 5 mil sounds about right. I could see it doing a couple million at launch, another couple million over the holidays, and then gradually pick up another million over a long period of time.