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Forums - Sales Discussion - Astro-Bot or Zelda EoW? Clash of the 2024 September Titans

 

Which will sell more? Which will perform better with critics?

Astro Bot (Sales & Critical Reception) 19 22.35%
 
Zelda (Sales & Critical Reception) 29 34.12%
 
Astro Bot (Sales), Zelda (Critical Reception) 3 3.53%
 
Astro Bot (Critical Reception), Zelda (Sales) 34 40.00%
 
Total:85

Great as it looks, I seriously doubt Zelda will score that high. If Sony bundles Astro it will win both.



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My expectation is that Astro Bot will launch to around 3.5mil, Zelda EoW will see 2.5mil. 

My initial prediction (i.e. the option I selected on the poll back in August) stated AB as winning both in Critical Reception and Sales. 2D Zelda tends not to sell well relative to mainline 3D entries, and it’s on a twilight-ing NSW. Meanwhile, Astro Bot is being marketed by Sony as *the* PS5 game for the holiday season during one of PS5’s biggest holidays (it’s only in its fourth year). With PS5 exclusives scarce atm, it’s a no-brained that AB is going to sell extraordinarily well, even if PlayStation platformers have a tendency to flop. I’d anticipate at least 10mil LTD even without pack-in bundles.

As far as how Zelda will be received among critics? I would need to see more, though it’s looking to be on pace for at least 92MC/OC. This would place it around one or two points below Astro Bot. High enough to be in GotY contention, though not enough to dethrone AB nor even FFVIIRB in the number of awards received.

Last edited by firebush03 - on 06 September 2024

I'm hoping for Astro Bot in both categories. But if I am more realistic I'll go sales to Zelda and critical reception to Astro Bot. It seems unlikely the new Zelda game will be able to match the 94/95 Astro Bot is currently at so that part is probably on lock. 



Zelda is an end of console life 2D spin off, not a Nintendo main effort.

It will sell between 2,5 and 5 millions, I would bet around 3,5 millions.

How much will Astro sell?



firebush03 said:

My expectation is that Astro Bot will see a larger launch than SM2. The reason being that while SM2 was a very highly anticipated title for the Sony base, AB has the benefit of appealing toward PlayStation *and Nintendo* players. It won’t be a blow out, though AB should at least come close to, if not surpassing, the sales figures of SM2 launch.

Super Mario Wonder was the fastest selling Super Mario game of all time, on a massive install-base that caters to an audience that likes those types of games, and Spiderman 2 had a better launch than it.

Spiderman 2 - 5m in 11 days
Super Mario Wonder - 4.3m in 2 weeks

A platformer selling 5m in 2 weeks is practically impossible lol.

Edit: Just realised that perhaps you mean Space Marine 2 not Spiderman 2, if that's the case disregard above. lmao.

Last edited by Zippy6 - on 06 September 2024

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Zippy6 said:
firebush03 said:

My expectation is that Astro Bot will see a larger launch than SM2. The reason being that while SM2 was a very highly anticipated title for the Sony base, AB has the benefit of appealing toward PlayStation *and Nintendo* players. It won’t be a blow out, though AB should at least come close to, if not surpassing, the sales figures of SM2 launch.

Super Mario Wonder was the fastest selling Super Mario game of all time, on a massive install-base that caters to an audience that likes those types of games, and Spiderman 2 had a better launch than it.

Spiderman 2 - 5m in 11 days
Super Mario Wonder - 4.3m in 2 weeks

A platformer selling 5m in 2 weeks is practically impossible lol.

Oh lol. For some reason, I thought SM2 (SpiderMan 2) only sold like 3.5mil for its first few days. Yeah, Astro’s not that pulling those numbers, though I do anticipate around 3.5mil for launch.



Zippy6 said:

A platformer selling 5m in 2 weeks is practically impossible lol.

Looks like sales stronger than expected so far…you too sure about this claim? To counter my previous response to your comment, I can honestly it see it pulling 5mil within two weeks, with the intense acclaim it has received and the lack of strong titles this year. Sony’s prolly sitting on some strong sales figures that they’ll be ready to share within a few weeks I’d imagine.



firebush03 said:
Zippy6 said:

A platformer selling 5m in 2 weeks is practically impossible lol.

Looks like sales stronger than expected so far…you too sure about this claim? To counter my previous response to your comment, I can honestly it see it pulling 5mil within two weeks, with the intense acclaim it has received and the lack of strong titles this year. Sony’s prolly sitting on some strong sales figures that they’ll be ready to share within a few weeks I’d imagine.

Pretty certain it won't sell that fast. If Astrobot sold faster than all Super Mario games there sure would be meltdowns though.



I don't have a clue how much Astro Bot will sell, but it deserves to cross the 10M mark for sure.



Zippy6 said:

Well 54% of the poll had Zelda winning critical reception but a metascore of 94 is going to be very hard to match.

There is no way.... Zelda EoW looks lazy in certain elements, even if theres some creativity in the ability usage.
It comes off looking almost like a 3DS game at times (even if resolutions are much higher, the texture and world ect).

I'll probably get hate for saying so as well.
I suspect alot of "journalist" will give it good reviews, because of girlpower! yay! we can finally play as zelda.
Also theres a ton more switch's out there, than PS5s.
However I don't put these 2 games on the same level.

Astro-bot ooozes charm, love, and polish.... it took dedication to make.
Zelda EoW? it looks lazy.... this was not a passion project... but a short, quick bang for buck, profit off of zelda being playable type of thingy.

If theres any fairness in the world, Astro-bot outsells it by a factor of 10 or so (doubt that though).

Lucas-Rio said:

Zelda is an end of console life 2D spin off, not a Nintendo main effort.

Glad I'm not the only one thinking so.
This was a low effort (low hanging fruit) sort of thingy.
Quick and easy, before then next thing, for the Switch 2.

firebush03 said:

As far as how Zelda will be received among critics? I would need to see more, though it’s looking to be on pace for at least 92MC/OC. This would place it around one or two points below Astro Bot. High enough to be in GotY contention, though not enough to dethrone AB nor even FFVIIRB in the number of awards received.

Im thinking 85-90 range.... and thats mainly because journalists that review, will give it better scores because you can now play as zelda.
EoW isn't setting the world on fire, with its hotness.  Maybe its just me... but the trailers did not sell me on it.

Last edited by JRPGfan - on 08 September 2024