GET TIM WALZ ON KINDA FUNNY WITH PARRIS.

No shit. I'm frankly getting tired of the left being tone-policed and lectured about being "mean." while Trump is holding a de facto Klan/Nazi rally at Madison Square Garden. 

Let's say Trump loses in 2024. Are there going to be articles in right-wing circles and speeches calling on conservatives to tone down the rhetoric and not be so hateful towards the West Coast and the Northeast? Calls for them to understand the people they've alienated? Nope! They're going to double down on the anger. If Trump isn't under in-home nursing care for dementia by the 2028 election, when he'll be 82, they'll even try to run him again. 

You've been the most active poster here for months and you have to ask about Harris's path to the White House? Color me surprised.

Winning Wisconsin, Michigan and Pennsylvania will get her to exactly 270 electoral votes and these three states have quite similar priorities when it comes to their voters due to their geographical location. It's more about the economy and manufacturing jobs than immigration. So if they win two of them, it's likely they win the third one as well.

It's really not that much of an uphill battle for the Democrats if they win Pennsylvania and Michigan. If that happens, then the only scenario where they can't win with only three of the seven battleground states is when Nevada is the third one in the mix.

I would be happy with this, but there are some strange things in the crosstabs. For instance, Kamala Harris winning males, and Trump with 24% of the Black vote. Kamala Harris actually performs worse with female voters than Biden did in 2020 which seems unlikely with Dobbs.  Big grain of salt. 

Something that is worth noting is that there are sets of figures given for self identified likely voters and what the pollsters consider likely voters. Harris has a lead of 6% nationwide if you don't weigh the results Kamala's lead jumps to 6% which would be almost an assured electoral victory.

People like to think of polls as objective data, but this is the subjective element. Their results are only useful insofar as it accurately predicts turnout. If more women show up to vote, or more rural voters, or more Puerto Ricans, then that completely changes the outcome.

Good to see a positive poll with such a large sample, but it still has the typical limitations. 

Just got back from voting (blue city in a red state). I know we had covid during the last general and midterms don't get as many voters but the turnout was still a night and day difference this time. Hoping that's a good sign.

Will be voting for her (and a straight Democratic ticket) on election day here in Pennsylvania.

Been voting in person since my mail-in vote wasn't counted in the 2020 primary. 

Fortunately, my polling station is never too busy, it's a few blocks from my house, and I work from home so I can hop over any time. 

Literally had a Nazi rally but sure.

Kamala Harris Campaign Taking Over Las Vegas Sphere Through Election Day

Should have got laughing Kamala on the sphere, maybe save that for after election if she wins.

Oh silly Ryuu. You should not doubt that Trump will improve the life of every American, because he will define what qualifies as an American. As Stephen Miller put it, America is for Americans any only Americans.