RolStoppable said:
EricHiggin said:
I doubt the polls change all that much, but that's also a bad sign just for a different reason. It'll mostly be the minority of independents or undecideds, which is who decides the elections most of the time anyway. I'd say there's a 4th way which is always the way I look at everything now initially. It's the swap interpretation. Swap Biden for Trump or vice versa, and see if the narrative and reaction would be the same if not similar at least. In this case, this doesn't pass the swap test. If Biden were shot at and bleeding, the narrative and reaction would be very different than what we've seen. Wouldn't matter if people on the right were saying or suggesting the same or similar negative things about Biden, the view of the incident would be totally different, which makes no sense. The only way I see this incident being negated and enough of those swing voters being persuaded back to the Dems, is if they change their candidate for someone seen as more electable, or if something tragic were to happen to Biden. The first would be acceptable, the second wouldn't be, unless it were natural death of old age, which would obviously be sad but is what it is, and politically would help offset any Trump sympathy for Biden sympathy. |
The swap interpretation is something that can only work if two things are roughly equally good or bad. That's why it actually makes sense that Biden and Trump cannot be swapped for roughly equal results, because the two are very different. |
Roughly equal, like how Dem voters can't stand Trump and Rep voters can't stand Biden?
Just because some on the left complain louder and more often doesn't mean their thoughts and feelings are stronger or more valid.
My point here was also based on assassination, so as long as both Dems and Reps find that unacceptable, then I don't see how it doesn't work. I'd rather not assume, but am I wrong about this assumption?