Will Xbox Series X/S make it to 36 million?

Zippy6

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Zippy6 on 02 January 2026

Sales down 39% YoY in the UK for the whole of 2025. Worst year for Xbox on record.

Sales of Xbox consoles were down 39% in the UK during 2025, making it comfortably the worst year on record for Xbox consoles. With the return of favourite Xbox franchises in 2026, might things improve this year?
— Christopher Dring (@Chris_Dring) January 2, 2026

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shavenferret on 02 January 2026

will pigs evolve wings and become airborn?

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DekutheEvilClown on 02 January 2026

Isn’t 39% down significantly better than worldwide?

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trunkswd on 02 January 2026

Zippy6 said:

Sales down 39% YoY in the UK for the whole of 2025. Worst year for Xbox on record.

Sales of Xbox consoles were down 39% in the UK during 2025, making it comfortably the worst year on record for Xbox consoles. With the return of favourite Xbox franchises in 2026, might things improve this year?
— Christopher Dring (@Chris_Dring) January 2, 2026

I've done the math. Our estimates on VGC has Xbox Series at 456.5K for 2024. 39% drop would be 278.5K for 2025. We have sales in 2024 so far at 226.6K, leaving 51.9K for December. That would be a 43% drop for the month compared to December 2024. Overall it seems like our estimates are pretty good for Xbox in UK.

Hopefully Chris gives some PS5 figures next.

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Zippy6 on 02 January 2026

DekutheEvilClown said:

Isn’t 39% down significantly better than worldwide?

Yes. UK will be one of the places it's dropped the least. Japan for example is down around 75% and the drop in mainland Europe is sure to be much higher than the UK too.

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curl-6 on 02 January 2026

Zippy6 said:

Sales down 39% YoY in the UK for the whole of 2025. Worst year for Xbox on record.

Sales of Xbox consoles were down 39% in the UK during 2025, making it comfortably the worst year on record for Xbox consoles. With the return of favourite Xbox franchises in 2026, might things improve this year?
— Christopher Dring (@Chris_Dring) January 2, 2026

Worse than any year of the original Xbox is really not good considering that system barely outsold the Gamecube, but what else is new.

That last 1.9m is gonna be like crawling a mile through broken glass.

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JRPGfan on 03 January 2026

Norion said:

JRPGfan said:

That is optimistic.
With ram prices likely being crazy for all of 2026 and 2027..... launching a new console is gonna be pricey.

From the sound of things the next Xbox is gonna be an expensive premium device so it was probably already gonna be a pricey niche product. Cause of that I could see them launching in late 2027 anyway and just lowering the price once things settle.

That 1200$ rumored price, with like +300$ extra for the ram increase..... is gonna be 1500$+ unit.
You launch a 1500$ console and see how that sells.

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drkohler on 03 January 2026

JRPGfan said:

That 1200$ rumored price, with like +300$ extra for the ram increase..... is gonna be 1500$+ unit.
You launch a 1500$ console and see how that sells.

It will obviously be advertised as an "XBox Gaming PC" or somesuch. Even $1500 is a stretch. I was looking for finally replacing my 25(?) year old PC with a $2500 gaming PC. It was never in stock in the past weeks and is now advertised with a new $3300 price label...

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Evilms on 03 January 2026

(UK)

Xbox Series X|S
2020 : 310k
2021 : 850k
2022 : 757k
2023 : 650k
2024 : 462k
2025 : 282k
TOT : 3310k

PlayStation 5
2020 : 460k
2021 : 1160k
2022 : 780k
2023 : 1210k
2024 : 1000k
2025 : 880k
TOT : 5490k

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Norion on 03 January 2026

JRPGfan said:

Norion said:

From the sound of things the next Xbox is gonna be an expensive premium device so it was probably already gonna be a pricey niche product. Cause of that I could see them launching in late 2027 anyway and just lowering the price once things settle.

That 1200$ rumored price, with like +300$ extra for the ram increase..... is gonna be 1500$+ unit.
You launch a 1500$ console and see how that sells.

Oh yeah if it's over 1k it'll sell less than 10m for sure. It's just since they've clearly given up on trying to sell a console to the masses they'll expect and be fine with that.


Will the Xbox Series make it to 36 million?
Yes it will	13	36.11%
No, it will fall short	23	63.89%
Total:	36

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Will the Xbox Series make it to 36 million?

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