Truth is we dont know. It could be sub 30 million. In the far flung future when the truth comes out it will be interesting to see how close the estimates are.

Assuming it is at 34.1 million (it most likely is not) I dont see it getting to 36 million. Clearly Microsoft doesn't want it to sell. Between now and when the Asus Xbox Magnus launches in 2027 you should expect between 500k and 750k. I would love to be wrong here but as I pointed out Microsoft doesn't want to sell them so any positive momentum will trigger another price increase.

It could also be higher. Remember VGChartz and other analytes had the Xbox One at 51 million for years until Microsoft showed the real number being 58 million.

I understand what you are saying but just practically if it was higher I doubt Microsoft would be shipping on PlayStation and raising the price as much as they have.   Microsoft's actions and the actions of retailers like Costco tell us the sale are really horrible.  Every report we get has sales far lover than the Xbox One... except for Japan and that died quickly.   I dont ever remember the Xbox One being down 30-50% year over year for like 3 years and then down 70%.  Sales have never been this low for Xbox in November.  Also other folks like Kepler have stated that VGChartz has it overtracked.