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Forums - Sales Discussion - Clash of the October 20th titans: Which will sell more, Mario Wonder or Spiderman 2?

 

Which will sell more?

Super Mario Bros Wonder 126 84.56%
 
Spiderman 2 23 15.44%
 
Total:149
Leynos on 30 May 2024



Bite my shiny metal cockpit!

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zeldaring on 30 May 2024
masschamber said:
zorg1000 said:

Do you not see the changing goalposts? Your last post just said you thought it “had a chance” but your original post said “for sure”. Those are not the same thing.

Im pretty sure I’ve already explained this but nobody gives a shit about the people who made high Mario predictions because they don’t come and gloat after every cherry picked data point like you do.

Nov 7: Mario wonder 4.2 million in 2 weeks. Where are all the haters at and I need my opology.

Nov 9: Spider man 2 did 5 million in 10 days. Lol all the people thought I was trolling and saying I don't know what I'm talking about.

Nov 15: My analysis was spot on and with spiderman 2 being bundled and switch in decline it's gonna be a easy win for spiderman 2. 

Nov 15: It will be. you gonna have to put some respect on my name.

Dec 13: Wow I nailed it look at wonder at NPD told you guys me. Only person Here who nailed it. My analysis was spot on.

Dec 13: Wow Nice. if anyone wants an expertise opinion on predictions PM me.

Dec 29: LOl wait for official and will see how wrong you are. Not gonna take you seriously since you already gave false info saying GSD counts bundles and that mario wonder would sell 15 million by the end of the year and clearly it hasn't.   

Feb 1: I think if switch really slows down this will be easy win for spiderman 2. Nintendo games usually get crazy legs when there consoles are also on fire not at the end of a cycle.

May 7-Looks like I nailed my prediction of Mario Wonder doing 20 million. Told you guys.

May 29-Looking at how fast switch sales are slowing down my prediction seems like I nailed it. Told you guys switch Nintendo hardware selling in it's prime to get to 30 million + sales in titles.

You keep claiming to be “spot on” because of arbitrary data that you somehow think proves you right.

Barring zeldaring having a learning disability or neurological impairment ( at which point, okay he struggles with social interactions etc), he's got to be just a troll, if he isn't either of those, mercy he's a supremely arrogant narcissist, I wonder if he's as obnoxiously arrogant in real life.

Lol the only reason it went that far is cause people kept pressing me reasons and you doing interrogation on me taking my prediction personal like you. Think about this I came here and sounded a little cocky about spider man 2 winning but so did all the mario fans saying ti would double it sales by thr end of year yet you never quoted them or interrogated or even insult them like you do me. You really just need to learn of to grow up and not take predictions so seriously.

In the end of day my main argument here was mario wonder was not gonna earth shattering and wasn't gonna do the 33-40 million that many expected and I was spot on.

Last edited by zeldaring - on 30 May 2024

Chrkeller on 30 May 2024
CourageTCD said:

Could someoney please summurize this whole heated discussion that lingers here in this forum?

Person A thought spider 2 would sell more than Mario Wonder.  He was wrong.  So persons B, C and D are demanding blood of his first born.  



curl-6 on 30 May 2024

Latest numbers have Spiderman at 11 million as of the 20th of April:

https://www.vgchartz.com/article/461156/marvels-spider-man-2-sales-top-11-million-units/

And Mario Wonder at 13.44 million shipped as of March 31st, three weeks prior:

https://www.vgchartz.com/article/460888/switch-ships-14132-million-units-as-of-march-2024/

Spiderman was at 10 million on the 4th of Feb, so it sold 1 million in two months and 16 days.

Mario went from 11.96 million to 13.44 shipped in three months, an additional 1.48 million.

Last edited by curl-6 - on 30 May 2024

Chrkeller on 30 May 2024
curl-6 said:

Latest numbers have Spiderman at 11 million as of the 20th of April:

https://www.vgchartz.com/article/461156/marvels-spider-man-2-sales-top-11-million-units/

And Mario Wonder at 13.44 million as of March 31st, three weeks prior:

https://www.vgchartz.com/article/460888/switch-ships-14132-million-units-as-of-march-2024/

Hell of a lot closer than I was expecting.  It certainly wasn't to the 2:1 I was expecting.

With a Steam release I would expect 3 to 5 million for spider 2, which puts it above Mario.  Crazy.  



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zeldaring on 30 May 2024
curl-6 said:

Latest numbers have Spiderman at 11 million as of the 20th of April:

https://www.vgchartz.com/article/461156/marvels-spider-man-2-sales-top-11-million-units/

And Mario Wonder at 13.44 million as of March 31st, three weeks prior:

https://www.vgchartz.com/article/460888/switch-ships-14132-million-units-as-of-march-2024/

Spider man 2 are Sell through numbers not shipments so probably 12.2 million for spiderman 2 with shipments.



curl-6 on 30 May 2024
zeldaring said:
curl-6 said:

Latest numbers have Spiderman at 11 million as of the 20th of April:

https://www.vgchartz.com/article/461156/marvels-spider-man-2-sales-top-11-million-units/

And Mario Wonder at 13.44 million as of March 31st, three weeks prior:

https://www.vgchartz.com/article/460888/switch-ships-14132-million-units-as-of-march-2024/

Spider man 2 are Sell through numbers not shipments so probably 12.2 million for spiderman 2 with shipments.

Do you have a source for this 12.2 million number?



Chrkeller on 30 May 2024
curl-6 said:
zeldaring said:

Spider man 2 are Sell through numbers not shipments so probably 12.2 million for spiderman 2 with shipments.

Do you have a source for this 12.2 million number?

Given he said "probably" I'm guessing it is an estimate.  



curl-6 on 30 May 2024
Chrkeller said:
curl-6 said:

Do you have a source for this 12.2 million number?

Given he said "probably" I'm guessing it is an estimate.  

I get that, I just wanted to know if it was based on data or just a random number. 

As far as I can see, we never got a shipped vs sold number for Spiderman.

Last edited by curl-6 - on 30 May 2024

zeldaring on 30 May 2024
curl-6 said:
Chrkeller said:

Given he said "probably" I'm guessing it is an estimate.  

I get that, I just wanted to know if it was based on data or just a random number. 

As far as I can see, we never got a shipped vs sold number for Spiderman.

I know what you mean but spiderman 2 is sell through numbers it's like when Nintendo announced sell through # for mario wonder at 10.7 and shipments were at 11.96 so looking at spiderman numbers it's 11 million sold through and most likely 12.2-12.4 million shipped. Mario wonder is probably up by 1.2-1.5 million sold through .