A 40 minute Nintendo Direct is a very good sign, especially since we've already gotten a Mario Wonder Direct. Should be a good amount of content.
Of course, if you want the Switch to be replaced soon, then this is actually a bad sign....
I’m convinced Switch 2 is releasing next fall and I don’t see Nintendo wanting to have a big drought of 1st party titles leading up to its launch so I think 2024 will have a pretty solid lineup, maybe not filed with huge system sellers but a steady flow of medium sized titles.
The main problem with this reasoning is that first party releases have noticeably dropped the year before the successor released on EVERY PREVIOUS NINTENDO SYSTEM. You're basically saying, "I believe what I want to believe, and I don't care what the reliable evidence says."
I'll start predicting a Switch 2 when I start seeing a drop in first party production. This year has a new Zelda and a new Mario, and we're about to get a 40-minute Nintendo Direct. All of this content is a sign that a successor is not coming soon. On top of that Nintendo just posted their best first quarter in the entire history of ever. It would be moronic business to replace the Switch right now. All signs point to a Switch 2 coming later rather than sooner.