I am very impressed by the Packers who have been without Aaron Jones for most of the season. They have a 3-1 record over the course of the toughest stretch of their schedule, taking down the Lions and Chiefs in the last two weeks. They are not the best NFC and AFC teams, but they are both taken seriously in playoff conversations nonetheless.
With Green Bay now at .500 and no teams with winning records left on their schedule, their playoff chances have risen greatly. It's not unrealistic that they could finish with an 11-6 record, but this is the NFL and nothing should be taken for granted. Just like the Packers have accomplished upsets, they can fall prey to an upset of their own all the same.
But when I look at the other contenders in the NFC wild card race, it's not a scary bunch of teams. The Vikings have lost their starting QB for the season, the Seahawks are struggling, the Saints and Buccaneers belong to the woeful NFC South. At the moment the Rams look like the most competent competition, but the Packers hold the tie-breaker against them already, not to mention that there are two wild card spots up for grabs anyway. It would be shocking if any of the 4-win teams in the NFC could make a run for the playoffs, because I consider all of them at least one level below the Saints and Buccaneers and these two aren't particularly good either.
Not that it will matter much in January. There are four NFC teams (Eagles, 49ers, Lions, Cowboys) who are all way better than the fifth-best team in the conference, so it's almost certain that these four will play in the divisional round.