Digital includes everything including games that are digital only. For Sonys first party stuff I think I recall from the insomniac leak that a few years ago it was more or less 50/50. So physical isn't going away anytime soon if its still central to Sonys biggest releases. Its safe for another generation at least.

It depends on when the PS6 launches and how much it costs at launch, but I am going with the 115M to 125M range with lifetime sales similar to PS4. If PS6 is $600 or higher and launches in 2028 or later it has a good shot of topping 125M.

To be fair, data from Sony shows the digital % hovered in the low 60s for most quarters around the time corresponding to those Insomniac leaks.

It's now around the high 70s in just 3 years.

Well according to the leaks from Tom Henderson, Sony is firm on the stance that they are doing a PS6 disc drive add on much like the PS5 currently has. This is done because of the success sales thus far of the add on drive. They seem very happy with the results. So if PS6 launches in 2027 or even if it's delayed a year or so to 2028 and we all know they support their home consoles for 10 years or more then physical media will still be an option on Playstation until 2037 or 2038 at least. So you can put your fake worries away.